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North East Blizzard

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Everything posted by North East Blizzard

  1. North East Blizzard
    Ecm is fine, slower evolution, but looks like its moving North to me.
  2. North East Blizzard
    Much further north after the overnight wobbles, could push into Greenland here
  3. North East Blizzard
    I think its coming next frame
  4. North East Blizzard
    Tbf, its not alone, most models going for some kind of High pressure north of the UK, dragging in a continental feed.
  5. North East Blizzard
    Best ensembles of the winter by a country mile today Probs maxing out at two degrees throughout, but under any snow cover I'd imagine it would be lower than that.
  6. North East Blizzard
    That Greenland block is insane, has to be the form horse now. His response tweet was due to a video released by the met today that mentioned high pressure over the UK, seemed to contradict their text forecast and pretty much every model we see. I can only guess Glosea was showing something different, who knows, could be right but looks unlikely now.
  7. North East Blizzard
    Yeah doesn't match the written forecast and we'd need to see a massive change in the models for high pressure to be sat over us by next week like they state. Strange.
  8. North East Blizzard
    Reading it I'm not sure it necessarily means high pressure is bang over the top of us, sounds more like blocking in the Atlantic with winds coming from the east to me, hence the drier in the west, showers in the east comments
  9. North East Blizzard
    Control looks better to my untrained eye
  10. North East Blizzard
    Yeah sorry, it was a little imby In all seriousness though, we've been in far worse situations than this and with a little patience i think anywhere could get lucky. The 850's don't make as much of a difference in a set up like this, will be colder on the ground than some think.
  11. North East Blizzard
    I'd be amazed if up North we don't see some of the white stuff over the next few weeks, 850's rarely above -5 and 2m temps barely above 2 degrees until more scatter further on in the run.
  12. North East Blizzard
    Yeah Matt Hugo just tweeted similar, more members going for northerly blocking than a return to an Atlantic onslaught. Interesting.
  13. North East Blizzard
    4.6c 85mm
  14. North East Blizzard
    Below is yesterdays 850 temps for my area, first from the 12z and secondly from this mornings 0z, apart from the rougue operational on the 12z, the average 850 temp across the ensembles is barely any different, if anything, its slightly better long term this morning
  15. North East Blizzard
    And it will be different again in the morning, no consistency currently. Ensembles will paint an interesting picture.
  16. North East Blizzard
    Nothing here for a few hours at least I'd suggest, bang in the middle of the two lines of showers
  17. North East Blizzard
    16 day 0z temp anomalies looking rather good for the UK 2m temp for my area also looking good, think they are the best so far, save most on my phone and it looks at least as good if not slightly better than the 18z, the mean is certainly lower than a few days a go and that's a good trend for me Not a lot to be downbeat with this morning, although we'd love consistency from the models all the way through to potential cold weather arriving, experience tells me we'll have a few wobbles getting there
  18. North East Blizzard
    Although Jimmy White had a touch of brilliance in him, let's hope the gfs can bring a bit of that magic to the party Anyway, been checking the ensembles everyday for weeks now for my neck of the woods. Tonight's are the best so far.
  19. North East Blizzard
    Not sure as I see it as much of a downgrade at all, granted living up north at elevation helps. Talk of snow even at low levels up here and then the chance of Much colder weather in the following weeks :) The use of the wording MUCH COLDER, is interesting to say the least.
  20. North East Blizzard
    Definitely a trend, this is more my neck of the woods, although, I'm a lot higher up in Co Durham. A mean of pretty much -5, with only 2 members I believe above 0, it's 100% going the right way
  21. North East Blizzard
    The differences at such a timescale are staggering, you can see big changes from pretty early on in the run aswell. Think we will see a lot of this over the coming days whilst the models try to get a grip on things. Doesn't mean it will lead to cold, but just goes to show there's no need for doom and gloom. Will be a few days yet before things become even slightly clearer
  22. North East Blizzard
    If only i was at the pub, girls are ill so my evening is pretty unexciting, In all seriousness guy is legit, cant make up the kind of knowledge he has, tbf he is only saying what many an expert is now predicting. Wont post links to his tweets because that isn't something i am comfortable with, Anyway guys on here just as knowledgeable predicting similar, so nothing new, hes just very bullish
  23. North East Blizzard
  24. North East Blizzard
    Speaking on twitter to a guy tonight who literally loves all things vortex related, he is massively optimistic about the current and future warming's, believes a split is likely, not UK based but still thinks a Xmas northerly for us is not out the question either. Lets hope he is reliable
  25. North East Blizzard
    Thanks Mike, pretty much what I thought, glad I wasn't Barking up the wrong tree. Thanks for the link
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