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Everything posted by Sainsbo
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Gonna be a little windy, by the looks of it.
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atlantic Hurricane Humberto
Sainsbo replied to Somerset Squall's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Ming be interesting to watch: Quite a lot of agreement currently that Humberto may swing towards, or close to the UK. It will have turned extratropical long before it gets to us, but just look at the intensity readings: -
Hurricane Ingrid
Sainsbo replied to Konstantinos's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Ingrid, IIRC. Looks as though we have TD Ten now, set to reach Tropical storm status for a while before making landfall in a few days. -
atlantic Hurricane Humberto
Sainsbo replied to Somerset Squall's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Looks like we may have a category 2 hurricane this week. -
atlantic Hurricane Humberto
Sainsbo replied to Somerset Squall's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
NHC going for a peak at 90mph maximum sustained winds, with a 20% chance of it becoming a category 2. Not that anyone should trust them after how badly they botched up their hurricane season prediction. -
TD Nine has formed, and looks like it possibly will become the first hurricane of the season.
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The system just off of the coast of Africa has 20% chance of development in 48 hours, but an 80% chance in the next 5 days.
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Very interesting read Coast. I wasn't aware that this season was anything other than just rather quiet, not potentially record breaking. Not looking too good for 99L now. While it was looking good last night, it is still at a 50% chance this morning, and there isn't long before landfall.
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The invest just north west of the Yukatan Peninsula could become a tropical depression before landfall. NHC currently saying it's 50%, but it looks like it is becoming more organised. A recon has been sent to investigate it. Landfall isn't that far away, so if it's going to intensify, it better do so quickly.
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A couple of areas where delevopment is possible, but unlikely over the next 48 hours. 1 has a 20% chance of cyclone formation in the next 5 days, and 2 has a 30% chance. I may be wrong, but it looks like the CMC wants to make something out of the second wave.
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South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
Sainsbo replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Only 20C here at the minute but it is feeling much warmer. Humidity is at 70% and DewPoint at 14C is making it feel rather uncomfortable. -
South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
Sainsbo replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
So much bickering... Did I accidentally click on the model thread? Temperatue is still hovering around 20C now after a daytime high of 26C. Going to be a sticky night tonight I think. -
South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
Sainsbo replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
The temperature got to an unexpected 25.6C here today. If there was less high cloud I expect it may have gotten a tad higher, but I can't really complain! -
The last update from the NHC show that the system has become more organized in the last few hours, and the likelyhood of tropical cyclone development in the next 48 hours is now at 70%
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South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
Sainsbo replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
That was a bit of an unexpected turnaround. Up until 2:30 this afternoon temps here were below 17C. The sun came out, and now around an hour later it is touching on 23C. Feeling quite pleasant outside now. -
Invest 95L now has a 60% chance of becoming a tropical system in the next 48 hours. It won't be over water for much longer, but we might see Tropical Storm Fernand form before landfall?
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South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
Sainsbo replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
I think it must have been. A few A*'s, a couple of A's and a few B's. Can't say I'm dissappointed. -
South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
Sainsbo replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Temperatures hit 26.1C here today when the sun came out, a lovely day to find out my GCSE results. It looks like the next week will be quite warm and sunny too, apart from Saturday.