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Convective

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Everything posted by Convective

  1. Convective
  2. Convective
    Bearing in mind that the lightning detectors don't pick up IC or CC lightning, that's a fair amount of CG lightning for a cell that size!
  3. Convective
    Exciting..!
  4. Convective
    I'd say updates and modifications to this are going to be necessary with the situation over the next few days. Anyhow, here's what I'm seeing during this evening and early tomorrow;
  5. Convective
    0700-1800 local time tomorrow:
  6. Convective
    Things aren't looking particularly great at this stage, following the hype that the charts a few days ago were generating. Of course that was to be expected though. At the moment, it is looking like parts of the country may see a possible breakdown to heavy rain, without much lightning activity. Hopefully we see a few upgrades in the next couple of days, or at least retain the currently forecast parameters, to at least see some activity somewhere!
  7. Convective
    It's been a while! Certainly not to be taken at face value, but it is stepping stones towards where we all want to be!
  8. Convective
    TAF for Lydd Airport suggests a 30% probability of heavy rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.
  9. Convective
    Will revise tomorrow around noon, but for now:
  10. Convective
    First of hopefully many forecasts this year.
  11. Convective
    Thundersnow over the Isle of Man around 5 minutes ago.
  12. Convective
    Good start to the afternoon with a extremely heavy hailstorm, around 3pm. So heavy that all the cars, including me, had to pull over with the hazard lights on as the marble sized hail made it impossible to see the road in front of you. The noise was unbelievable, too. Didn't take long for the roads to flood, ending up like rivers with the water a few inches deep in places. This was followed by a very decent evening with thunder and lightning on and off from around 1830. Some very loud, and deep rumbles - a couple of positive strikes, too! Shaking the ground and making the windows rattle and creek.
  13. Convective
    Not a lot stopping the convection today. All the way to the ceiling, then flat...
  14. Convective
    Quite a fierce isolated storm that one! Over 120 sferics recorded in its short life! Just needs to shift a little further north...
  15. Convective
    Sorry! Only just seen this now. I was in a storm-starved Skiathos on this day, getting envious of the potential back home! Everything seemed to miss here on that day though, despite the odds. There have been a few flashes of lightning and rumbles of thunder here over this evening. Some fairly decent, but activity seems to have died off now. We've also had heavy rain, hail and even graupel and sleet!
  16. Convective
    Yet another plume down the pan... Third plume, in the last month, to look incredible at five days notice, then to be downgraded to nothing but mild drab at three days notice..... Infuriatingly boring weather
  17. Convective
    Heeeeeeere we go again......!
  18. Convective
    Any chance of another plume, mother nature? Thanks in advance...
  19. Convective
    My guess is that this showery rain around here is the cold front finally moving through. I suppose that means I can wave bye to this plume! It was relatively good, although still a bit far from here for a true light show. Hopefully something similar in the near future. Good luck to everyone hoping to catch something later today! EDIT: Just checked outside, a completely flat sky out there now with a few breaks in the clouds. All stratus and no convection! You wouldn't think it was the same day.
  20. Convective
    After four or so hours of continuous thunder, its finally moving out of here. Nothing was particularly close apart from the odd strike (see images), but perhaps something building on its way out of Wales at the moment?
  21. Convective
    Its actually incredibly frustrating.. wish people would just go to bed rather than comment on a 'bust' or 'non-event', despite we're still two hours off blast off. Just go to bed and miss the action if that's what you want to do!
  22. Convective
    Its 12am, most of it wasn't meant to begin until 3am onwards... don't lose hope
  23. Convective
    I can confirm that none of the lightning detectors are picking up even a fraction of sferics. Them two cells that have recently gone up to the north of the island were putting out around 20-30 strikes a minute, all intra-cloud. Don't be fooled by the number of cloud-ground strikes being detected, there's a lot more there! Some absolutely fantastic crawler lightning, too!
  24. Convective
    Expecting it to go off just north of here soon, and just south. When it does, it should be big!
  25. Convective
    Got a feeling this could be the cloud that delivers the goods:
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