Essentially, the difference in speed and direction the wind is blowing at the different levels in the atmosphere. The greater the shear, the more likely storms are to become multicellular or tornadic, overall increasing the likelihood of severe storms. Although, many other factors need to be in place such as high dewpoints and decent lapse rates in order to sustain deep convection as the shear blows if off centre.
First potential looking to be tomorrow evening as sustainable storm conditions push out of France and into the south coast. Can't wait to take a closer look and make the first forecast of the year! Very slim risk of an isolated shower over the West Midlands tomorrow afternoon, too.