karlos1983

I can confirm that is completely FALSE! GloSea has not flipped!! That is the wrong information

Happy with the ICON up to 144 Little ridge into Scandi

wrong thread

Unless you're a Gazelle in the African Savanna..... I'd imagine that's not much fun

I'm just enjoying the output. It will be what it will be, but it's not often we see such differences at such short time frames in the nwp world, so it is fascinating to watch.

I'm very interested to see what the 12z bring. Will the GFS move further towards the ECMWF or vice versa. Can the ECMWF repeat or get somewhere close to its overnight run. My main concern is I'm not sure we will have any members left to view and dissect the 12z, as they appear to have thrown themselves off the MetO thread cliff! I strongly advise against heading to that thread anytime soon if you are of a nervous disposition! Wowzers

You don't, I do. Winter is not over for the south that is ridiculous! If we get an easterly, we could well be the only ones that benefit! Where have you seen this GloSea flip Feb..... or are you reading the MetO update and making that assumption.... just 16 hours ago it was BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!???????? Absolutely hilarious this thread and complete junk all at once.. Just to add, the Met Office give the 00z ECM operational a 25% chance of verifying, usually at that range it would be 5%..... But yup, winters over

seems like bad taste to me... The GFS is all over the place at the moment. I would advise waiting until the ops come to some form of agreement around D5 before worrying about to much further on. High Pressure over the UK is not the likely end point!

Yep, it can be dressed up however you like, but the GFS is absolutely moving towards the ECM GFS, go to the Naughty corner... now !

Your post said no models showing heights to our North JS, which is very misleading to anyone not sure on how to read the charts. At least there is some credibility in the ECM, as the Monthly update from last night fits in with that solution.

This must be pretend then...... ECM

I stand corrected No mild outlier. So must be well supported

It will be a warm outlier in terms of 850’s I’d say. Synoptically probably a bit eager as well. Just my opinion ? But what a run it was! Staggered the gfs is still not budging! Look forward to hearing ncep thoughts when Nick reports back.

If you find it please share ?

On this note, I wish you goodnight STUNNING! Close to -20c

Really?

Oh sorry, I mean the EC extended Ens that we will see soon. Expecting a cold set ?

I’ll have a little bet there’s a -20c in there

Can’t wait to see the ext ens later! Short ens are decent as it is south coast of England

EC46 stands firm... contrary to belief that it’s useless.. hopefully the Icelandic site is running smoothly for 22:02 viewing

I’m guessing average ppn singnal is still not especially dry in late January into February

LOL Weeks 2,3,4 all look great

Show me show me

Lost the link to the Hungarian MetO site again ? Anyine got it? TIA