karlos1983

Apparently a lack of Data on the GFS18z If you’re wondering What does this mean?: “It shows the amount of data gone into the initial conditions. More data in usually means a better idea of atmosphere at starting condition.”

Hmmmmmm GIN!!! Sounds like my sort of Corridor

No real return to anything mild going by that run. Now that the noise of that US storm is coming to an end, hopefully we will see less entropy. Time will tell Not sure the UKMO got the memo though ?

Quite a bit different on the ICON by 114 12z/06z

I think this is where the confidence in the pattern is stemming from. Totally different scenario to this failed easterly setup. Presuming it fails, which looks all but settled now. We were really up against it with hindsight, PV nowhere to go, Azores high to close by.

The ENS support a very 1 directional outlook Nick?

Absolutely not. If this week has taught us anything, it’s that we need to get agreement cross model into a reliable timeframe. But it’s been a rough winter for coldies, so enjoy the ride or what’s the point ?

I do believe that the next weeks “will it won’t it”, will be a distant memory very soon! We are almost within reach of what should be some mouth watering charts! Put your seatbelts on!

You have good hearing lol I’ve been in Frome this afternoon and evening. Heading back now

I’m really happy, thought we were going to get beat!

It *could* look different. The spread of options on the table makes it entirely plausible that we will be picking our jaws off the table come 7pm. I’m not putting a % on it, because it’s like playing roulette at the moment! Fascinating to watch though!

Greenland looks so pretty in yellow seriously though, it does look like if our first bite doesn’t come off, we will have plenty of further attempts. Winter is by NO means over plus, I’ve a hunch the 12z could look different..

Bloody awesome, love it

still none the wiser Absolutely foul day. 11mm of transparent ppn, 5.9C

Shall we try again trough dropping SE, GO!

What is WXSIM @Mapantz ? TIA

Well at least it doesn’t look likely that D7 will verify! which makes you wonder where it it goes wrong initially.......

With such differences between the big 3 as early as D5, I don’t think we can draw any conclusions one way or the other at the moment, but the ECM not being onboard is certainly a worry. Especially as we saw the UKMO only climb back onboard yesterday. Big 3 at +120 So although not the best news, we do just about have enough time for things to change. But We need some positive movement back to the colder solution by the ECM later today really. Looking back at a post of mine last night, I’d actually like to address something, where I said Darren Bett is a mildy. That was wrong of me, he’s a professional of his field, is also human being. So I’m not really sure why I said that and would absolutely like to take that back. Pretty annoyed with myself I’m truth! Anyway, let’s hope we get back on track later today and that the GFS ups the Ante on the 06z.

You’re giving up altitude dude

Omnipresent Euro trough

Absolutely. ‘Tis why I would always take an easterly

You can only read this one way gawgeous what does it tell me? It tells me the Det went against the grain at D9&10 & I’ll be very surprised if we don’t see a much better run tomorrow.

Crack-ing

Case of All routes lead to winter! At last! Just some take longer than others. Preferably want the EC back onboard tomorrow morning for the first bite as time is running out, so no ECM tomorrow morning would be a worry for our first bite of the cherry!

If the GFS comes off as per 18z, many southerners could well get burried! Good to hear some snow reports in the Of north of the region. Been a bleak winter so far.