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karlos1983

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Everything posted by karlos1983

  1. karlos1983
    YESSS - Much better from the UKMO 144
  2. karlos1983
    UKMO probably going to end flat, although does again seem a bit of an improvement at +120
  3. karlos1983
    Q Nirvana charts If yesterday taught us anything, it should be to not make assumptions at the moment. It's pretty chaotic in the nwp terms at the minute
  4. karlos1983
    The quicker the models get to an agreement on this low the better, causing a lot of noise.
  5. karlos1983
    Not much wrong with these
  6. karlos1983
    How's this looking today Nick? TIA
  7. karlos1983
    certainly a better run than the disaster of the 00z 00z v 06z
  8. karlos1983
    that's yesterday's I'm afraid Still ok,but not as jaw dropping
  9. karlos1983
    It's a bit better upstream, but not enough to stop the pattern flattening on this run
  10. karlos1983
    Actually i think members usually skip that bit...... they just arrive at the top and it's all downhill from there
  11. karlos1983
    Just out of curiosity, what’s the reaction if the 06z shows blocking akin to ECM from the 12z of yesterday?
  12. karlos1983
    Ahh the good old knee jerk reaction to on a single run.. sigh if these have flipped overnight I will be more than a little surprised!!
  13. karlos1983
    The GFS picking up the signal like WTF!! using all of its instincts/bias to try and fight it. That’s was quite a run to behold Absolutely stonking set of ens from the rock steady EC
  14. karlos1983
    Is that a positive or negative....... this is hardly the time for cryptic messages.
  15. karlos1983
    That is an immaculate conception! talk about consistency! I was not expecting this at all must admit
  16. karlos1983
    25% confidence could be raised Fantastic stuff
  17. karlos1983
    NE US pain is our gain
  18. karlos1983
    Incorrect! he is favouring the pressure rise over the weekend as per GEFS ensembles... that’s completely different to saying the gfs is right...
  19. karlos1983
    That’s a new one on me ? do you mean surface wind?
  20. karlos1983
    GFS control tries ever so hard to get the same happy ending as the Op.
  21. karlos1983
    Last night! What they look like? Second part you your name
  22. karlos1983
    Oh my
  23. karlos1983
    Yes good point Nick, I was paying so much attention to that same low on the GFS, I forgot to look upstream on the UKMO. Arguably the GFS deals with it more beneficially from a downstream perspective than the UKMO... did i just say that Which results in the GFS being more amplified in the Atlantic at 144
  24. karlos1983
    Some might say the GFS has not changed, but you try telling the NE USA Snow chasers that. They've gone from an all snow event, to a snow/rain event because the low takes more of a land track than a just off the coast track.... That's good news by the way for us down stream! More chance of it flattening the pattern if it heads out off the coast.
  25. karlos1983
    Decent UKMO at 144, nice sharpening of the trough near Greenland, heights trying to build to the N or the UK.
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