karlos1983

So who's heading out later? I'm going to head out at about 11ish, to get to my destination before the worst winds arrive, going to be a long old night!

still looks stormy in the south to me? and wet

@fergieweather: W COUNTRY #ukstorm UPDATE 0730GMT: Increased hope of a less developed system tomorrow AM; uncertainty; but full update around 10-11am today.

Good, on that note I'm off to bed, not much will change from now to 4:30 ish. Laters

No guesses to what I'll be doing when I wake up tomorrow, straight on the models with fingers and toes all crossed that every model on the planet is laughing at the 18z GFS. Night all, may or may not see y'all tomoz

looks like it is in line with UKMO right now, baring in mind 2 hours dif. currently UKMO 12z at +12 and its riding the Jet

Now is when we should start to see the pressure dropping off then from what I've been reading?

Does anyone have any data of the current position and pressure? Do remember this is what keeps us so interested and glued to this forum and model watching, if every model was bang on the money 7 days out it would be boring, bit like the indain GP tomorrow, we all know Vettel will win, but this situation is still evolving and could go either way every time. To write this off because of 1 single global run, would be foolish, at the same time it can't be ruled out, keep your heads people or you'll be having heart failure by the time winter comes and the threat of Easterlies and snow, which 9 times out of 10 don't come to fruition! That's 1 thing this Forum has taught me over the past 2/3 years, she will do what she pleases (mother nature). As for the Met Office, they've done everything correct so far IMO, no Red Warnings, be on Alert, watch the forecast as this is an "evolving situation". What more can you ask for? They are looking after the public's best interests, and so far have been very forthcoming with the forecast and keeping everyone updated.

This is not what I wanted to see from the GFS, and now the Met saying 25% chance of decreased winds. If it's ever a 50/50 chance, I usually get it wrong 100% of the time, I can see this going the way of the pear now. You can't dismiss the GFS 24 hours away from the event, we wouldn't if it was showing an intensifying low. Blooming hell this weather lark is emotional! This would be on a par with that failed ECM beasterly!

ditto

bloody watering can has just hit my patio window, and this is nothing compared to tomorrow, cant believe I left the watering can out after putting everything else away.

Perhaps try and tuck a friend up that has a house to stay at for the night, not sure i'd fancy staying in a mobile home tomorrow night.

I think unlikely,60 mph gust in general, and they've not been felt for quite sometime, certainly with trees in full leaf, take a look at Ian F tweets and he makes refernce to speeds that will bring down trees, you may be surprised to find it's considerably less than 60mph. I would say it's pretty unlikely to miss us now also. That's done it now, watch out France

okay, the collateral damage thing was probably to much, but everything else i agree with to be honest, I hope nobody gets injured, although it's unlikely, but I am really looking forward to this, I, like all of us am just a mere mortal, so we are all in the same boat, this is coming whether we like it or not, I for one will be embracing it to the fullest!!

I completely and utterly agree with every letter you typed s4lancia, well said!

wind has really picked up here, just as the rain starts, expect it to blow faster when the havier stuff arrives shortly

blimey, quite a fewupdates just popped up from Ian F on Twitter, would seem quite a serious storm bearing down on us Dorset coastal folk! as well as most of the region, especially those on exposed coastal fringes!

well you can always rely on us lot!!

Oh I've avoided Facebook, this is the only place I can share my passion with people without getting sarcastic comments. And usually if I warn anyone on facebook, it all goes the way of the pear and I look foolish, won't be doing that this winter!!

in the meantime, the old radar is looking lively out west with that front heading in!

South coast is currently very much in the firing line as far as the wind is concerned.

Is it just curiosity that brought you in here then

post of the day and so very true

The GFS 06z is not interested in changing it's track or intensity.

as I eluded to in my post above.