Allseasons-Si

January 6

Stronger heights on this run compared to the 12z,....lets go

January 6

The gfs finally looks very good at 144.

January 6

1 minute ago, Catacol said:

Not sure whether this has been posted today or not - I've had to skim the thread a bit due to shortage of time so apologies if it has.

Wow - just wow. Not sure I've seen many better of these.

John Holmes put out a great post earlier today that ties in with it. Let's make the most of this - it could be 5+ years again before we see anything quite like it.

Yes mate,posted them ealier.

January 6

3 minutes ago, The Enforcer said:

GEFS12z P14 is a nightmare, which I sincerely hope will not come to fruition:

Are you trying to enforce some milder weather,you seem to be cherry picking them out on every run,i think you need to join the MRA (mild rampers association)

here are some better charts for you and everyone else

EPS.

now onto the 18z,...no mild cherry picking in here please

January 6

Well somethings got to give because the CPC remains resolute.

January 6

5 minutes ago, Hatewarmth said:

Correct me if I’m wrong but is this evidence that the ECZm op was in fact an outlier

Yes,the black line is the op and the red line is the mean,the shaded purple is the ens sread,hope that helps

i have corrected my post above as i didn't state the op.

January 6

The EC op was an outlier,watching the EPS rolling out now.

January 6

The EC is better though for height's than the 00z,look at the difference between the two.

January 6

Better retrogression of heights in the Atlantic from the EC at 144 compared to this mornings 00z run so should be a lot better amplification into Greenland at 168.

January 6

What a cracking day ten mean from the GEPS.

January 6

GEPS mean and control at day 8

January 6

Just now, Day 10 said:

I think the GFS looks fine.

Yes it does and keeping in with the same theme,the height's into Greenland look to re-envigourate by day 9 with more WAA.,trough closer to the SW of the UK too,....great scenario.

January 6

Have to admit the ICON and UKMO are a lot cleaner(no shortwave drama's) than the gfs at 144 plus the height's are better too on the ICON/UKMO.

Edit: not forgetting the GEM too at 144

and then 168,...very clean.

January 6

Good placement of the height's on the latest ICON.

January 6

Good upgrade from the ICON with the retrogression of height's into Greenland...

this is going to be a good run.

January 5

Intrestingley,...the mean has higher height's into Greenland with a more pronounced trough to the SW,could be fun and games if the two masses colide across the UK,one from the north and one from the SW=battleground snow somewhere,...still a way to go though yet.