Snowy Easterlies
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Posts posted by Snowy Easterlies
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the GFS 12z gave most temps of 1c on xmas eve and xmas day, now the 18z gives us an ugly mild fest with them days being 11c, am i surprised ? not in the slightest, i bet it dosen't even rain it will just be a typical partly cloudy mild xmas day
meh
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showers are usually during the day, not sure about frontal rain, quite often it rains during the night here at least
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why do u hate rain so much, it doesn't literally rain all the time u know, i'd rather it wet than dry sunny and mild
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i don't expect the atlantic to barrel through totally, what might happen is the usual NW/SE split courtesy of a pressure rise to the south, the usual plain old bog standard synoptics zzzzzzzz
next weekend could be milder than the Queens jubilee celebrations, lets see if the mild downgrades, i doubt it
shocking hideous output this morning but not surprised i thought there would be a pressure rise from the south a week ago
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forgive me for my ignorance but dosen't this warming look to far away to effect us
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there have been many non snow events here over the last 15 years but i did strike lucky in 2010 when that front from the south stalled over bedford and gave me 8 inches, i was due some luck, now i will probably have to wait another 15 years for a pasting again
jan 2004 was a good thundersnow event but it soon passed over me i only got about 2 or 3 inches from that, and there have been a few other times where i have got 2 or 3 inches but its rare for me to get more than that, many times i was also expecting snow and all i got was a mere dusting, but of course im not the only one who loses out, though my location is not very good for snow, luton 20 miles away does far better because its a lot higher up
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yeah it annoys me too, esp when they have a big smile on there face when they say mild weather is on the way, but tv forecasts are for joe public and most hate cold and snow or not like it as much as us weather freaksIl tell you what really annoys me is Tv weather men/women thinking everyone hates cold weather. " Your be glad to hear this is the last of the cold frosty mornings" i just heard the presenter on BBC breakfast say, Really left trouser leges me off when people moan about cold, when in reality even this cold is very mild compared to other places this far north as the Uk.
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and what do we have showing in the models for next week, yep the azores high ridging in, a very common synoptic pattern, even zonal gets downgraded sometimes, i bet it won't rain that much in the east next week, even though the charts show rain crossing the UK, GFS FI cranks up the vortex but i bet pressure stays high over the south of the UK, a truly dreadful but familiar pattern, what a borefesti don't expect the atlantic to barrel through totally, what might happen is the usual NW/SE split courtesy of a pressure rise to the south, the usual plain old bog standard synoptics zzzzzzz
of course not 100% guaranteed to come off like currently progged but the models don't get this pattern wrong that often
are we still in a "better position compared to this time last year" as people keep saying ?
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when people say its only december 12th, that shouldn't mean we have until feb 28th to salvage our winter, i would like winter to be spread out over three months if possible and even if we got a decent two week cold spell in feb and the rest of this winter was mild with no snow people would still say it was a crap winter,
last year it was very cold here in early feb but overall winter was still a big let down according to most
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it was -5.7c here last night under cloudy skies, why was it so cold under cloud cover? usually if its cloudy the temps stays at around 0c or just above in cold spells
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well at least joe public are happy that there won't be any snow, i have told people that its not gonna snow now and they all said "oh good" i bit my tongue though
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one weather type that is not mentioned on here much and that is Fog, i love Fog, but sadly that is rare here too apart from early mornings before it disappears at about 9am, but before i used to see fog last most of the day, then it would come back late afternoon in winter, i get far too many bland cloudy days and tbh a lot are not even that dull, its just that annoying bright cloudy crap, i like clear blue skies, but not cloudyish brightness, i actually prefer dull days over bright cloudy days with the odd bit of sun
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its not incorrect because the northern blocking all but disappears for later this week, when a few days ago they was showing strong blocking for later this week, how many times does FI show amazing blocking only for it to be watered down
i see people are still clutching at straws
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i said weeks ago that it is a myth that the models underestimate northern blocking, this is the second time already this winter that the models have got rid of northern blocking closer to the time
GFS and UKMO are so bog standard it bores me to tears, but i can't give up this hobby cos i have been into the weather for a about 15 years
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here we go again, chasing snow and good synoptics at T180 + who knows we might be third time lucky, i think i need to recharge the batteries
no doubt when/if we do get snow falling i will probably be asleep during it due to exhaustion of chasing it in the models and typically miss it, or it will snow when im at work
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i wish joe public realized how lucky they are, that more often than not this country ends up avoiding heavy snow when its forecast in these models,which usually downgrades, so instead of whining on if there is 2 inches of snow which happens once or twice a year and causes them "big problems" on their journey to work, they should be told that the snow is not going to happen, and realize that they got lucky, imagine snow was as common as rain how would they cope then ?
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Uh.. this is the post I am referring to.
Eh, whats good about zonal? which is what the models are showing for next week, its windy with south westerly winds, big wow, and we have lost the good synoptics for this island that were showing a few days ago, i don't care if a scandi high or a greenland high is lurking and there is potential for it to do something, its what happens on this island that ultimately matters
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So by your very own definition on the other thread, you're not a weather enthusiast!
i do like thunderstorms, torrential downpours, heatwaves and snow of course, but zonal does nothing for me, its far too common and i get bored of it, i may not always get gales or severe gales here but they don't interest me at all, so if i see a big depression, deep low in the models i won't exactly be getting excited
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it actually causes less stress to me in a way, because i don't view the models all the time when its zonal, right now i am on here viewing the charts all the time and i am already tired of chasing 2 failed cold, snowy spells, so a break from the charts will do me good
it might only be the weather but i still get miserable, people say to me do other things, but you can do other things at any time of the year, eg go out with family, friends, go to the pub etc, snow comes around very occasionally and we need to take our chances with it, so when its missed i get down, but i get over it
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what are the odds on the next couple of weeks being milder than some days we had in june this year ? like the queens jubilee when it was cold and wet with temps of 8c
a shocking turnaround in the models, even though i wasn't totally taken in by the charts, at the back of my mind i had some hope we would see a decent cold spell, i was wrongly shot down in the model thread yesterday for saying it has all downgraded, im afraid in life more often than not things don't go right and i will never be a member of the blind faith brigade, and i will usually be realistic/negative
i don't expect the atlantic to barrel through totally, what might happen is the usual NW/SE split courtesy of a pressure rise to the south, the usual plain old bog standard synoptics zzzzzzzz
who knows though, i have about 10% faith that things might turn for the better, as i said im mostly a half glass empty kind of bloke but at the back of my mind i always have faint hope on something decent coming, otherwise i wouldn't be on here watching these charts all the bloody time
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yes and i was moaning away until somebody shot me down, if they don't want to read it, then stay away nobody holds a gun to there head and makes them read this do they
Edit i missed your post Jbuffert on here i will read the PM now
fair enough spat over
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no my attitude is realism and not blind faith, but sadly realism sounds like negativity to people like you, people can moan on here as much as they like, stay away if your fed up of it, and i do read the strat threads, maybe we need a shortwave thread as that is the killer of snow for us and it don't matter if we have all the blocking in the worldI'm moaning aren't I? So I'm posting in exactly the right place. Also I think your holier than thou attitude is very rude. I love weather but I'm not so unstable that I throw tantrums and get depressed about it. And you should read the strat thread, maybe you'd gain some actual meteorological knowledge.
I know there is but thank you for not encouraging them!
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err this is the moaning thread, your attitude on here is very rude tbh, Jbuffet
the real passionate weather fanatics get down when good synoptics go wrong, people like you probably aren't into the weather that much so you just accept it and say "ah well never mind" when things downgrade and blindly believe that something good is going to happen further down the line without seeing any evidence bar comments on the strat thread
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yep my feet are freezing right now and they will stay freezing till about next thursday, if we had snow i would be happier and i wouldn't care that i was cold, dry cold weather does nothing for me, its nice to look at if there is a frost, but you go out on the street and walk in it, its not nice at all. its even worse if its grey and cold its tedious, walking in a blizzard is far better and takes your mind of feeling cold cos you are happy about the snow lolAs Snowy Easterlies said in the MOD thread earlier is there anybody else who would now actually prefer if the Models now fully firmed up on a mild zonal pattern with no end in site? Personally I would, it'd certainly beat the alternative of being lead up the garden path for the umpteenth time anyway.
so yes if there is no snow on the way i will welcome a return to mild zonal, at least i will feel less cold and don't have to use as much heating
people make out that frost and cold in december is a rarity when its not al all, its not literally mild and zonal all winter you know. so sorry if i don't get excited about a few cold days and temps of -3c at night, its snow that most on here look for as that is rare as hens teeth, but more often than not we will be disappointed chasing snow sadly, but its hard to refrain from getting our hopes up when we see the models show good snowy synoptics
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The Winter emotions and moaning thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
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