doctormog
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
doctormog replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another rather cold run for northern parts. A strong trend from midweek now. -
To describe this weather as a toppler is misleading and sounds like “everything that comes from the north that doesn’t give me snow” is a “toppler”. The synoptics show a bitterly cold Arctic/polar flow and not something casually dismissed as a toppler even if large parts of the country do not see snow.
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The colder air is moving in from the north currently and this shows up nicely on the precipitation type radar with more evidence of wintriness. The models tend to be a bit rubbish at modelling convective precipitation, understandably due to its nature, so it’s tricky to work out what is incoming much in advance. I would be hopeful of seeing snow here today in Aberdeen but how much and when is a different matter! I just hope the westerly component doesn’t kill off too much of the precipitation before it gets here.
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
doctormog replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No don’t ignore it. Just accept that it is different to majority of the rest of the outcome. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
doctormog replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Four days ago it was 11 days away. -
It will only be the low lying areas not the entire town as being (mis)reported. The area around River St and low lying areas near the South Esk river.
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Hurricane Ida
doctormog replied to summer blizzard's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
It is incredible that that camera is still broadcasting!- 270 replies
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- gulf coast hit.
- cayman islands
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(and 3 more)
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Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards
doctormog replied to LomondSnowstorm's topic in Regional
And unsurprisingly every flake is sticking. Watching the gentle snow come down steadily is almost therapeutic as it refreshes any discoloured areas. I would say “covers any bare surfaces” but that doesn’t apply as everything is still covered in a blanket of snow. -
Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards
doctormog replied to LomondSnowstorm's topic in Regional
I would rather this one moved westwards. The forecast for here (and the automated output) look good for snow later on, but we’ll see. -
Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards
doctormog replied to LomondSnowstorm's topic in Regional
I saw a large flock of geese flying south over here this morning. Do they know something that we don’t or have they escaped from Altnaharra? -
Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards
doctormog replied to LomondSnowstorm's topic in Regional
Heavy graupel has turned into heavy snow here now Aberdeen. I had cleared my path earlier, it has now disappeared. -
Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards
doctormog replied to LomondSnowstorm's topic in Regional
I am hoping that some of the more “generous” models prove to be on the money over the coming hours. Several of them have quite a bit of snow down the eastern coastal strip by this evening but there is limited agreement.