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Everything posted by Ben Sainsbury
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Hi All, Forgive me if it's obvious but which Extra Subscription includes the UKV Charts?
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Hi all, Haven't been around for a while but the latest round of showers/storms a few days ago have brought me back. We see an interesting almost Spanish Plume like scenario unfolding Friday into this weekend. Unfortunately since we aren't in July-September the storms won't be as active as we would hope despite that it does still look promising. No charts from me at the moment as we're still a little too far out however Friday evening looks like more general thundery rain as CAPE levels don't look particularly high. Midday Saturday could provide greater potential since we have a larger increase in CAPE & introduction of some basic levels of DLS. These storms all look to be in the form of elevated storms so English Channel SST's won't be a worry. However there's a small risk of something more surface based late Saturday across CS England if skies clear.
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Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
Ben Sainsbury replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks for showing the snapshots of the Netwx, my apologies for not showing them earlier. Latest run shows a slightly better flow off the continent. -
Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
Ben Sainsbury replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Again the NetwX model hinting at 38'c along the Thames Estuary on its 06z run with 24'c uppers clipping the south coast. -
Model output discussion - hot spell beckons but then what?
Ben Sainsbury replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wow, the Netwx model showing three 38'c icons for Thursday at 3pm over London/Thames Estuary! All time temperature record likely to be broken with this chart. -
Some very tasty charts for Tuesday Night... 1000J/Kg of MLCAPE, Basic Levels of DLS, Extremely High SRH all combined provides a risk of some very quite large hail & prolific lightning as cloud tops reach -50'c. Looks like potential for some elevated supercells where we have best overlap of ingredients.
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How hot will it be? Temperature Competition
Ben Sainsbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
34.1'c - Heathrow - Saturday 29th June