Ben Sainsbury
-
Posts
2,364 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Ben Sainsbury
-
Just measured my snow depths in Keynsham, general consensus seems that (although difficult to measure through snow drifts) that my depths range from between 4 and 9cm. -
Agreed I mean well we're in the same location so it should, but visibility greatly reduced and still many many more hours of snow, would surprise me if the Met Office DIDN'T extend the area of the red warning.
-
Not that looking at the GFS matters now, but on the 12z much of the red and amber warning areas are under continuous snow till Saturday at 3am!
-
Your sir are a magician!
-
Lets hope the heaviest of the snow arrives at the same time as the strongest winds/gusts. These look to arrive around 8-9pm with gusts in excess of 50mph.
-
How are the flake size further south, because currently in Bristol it's still the same dandruff rubbish!
-
To put it under context as well for snow amounts per hour under the dark orange/red, the rain to snow ratio is approximately 1:15 therefore 12mm/hr of rain for example is equivalent to 300mm/hr of snow = 30cm/hr of snow. Even the light greens of 3mm/hr = 45mm/hr of snow = 4.5cm/hr of snow so to only be witnessing the areas of green intensity can still dump 15-20cm in just 4 hours.
-
Very true, only 18 years old so my memory can only extend so far Surprise me mother nature!
-
I just can't quite see how we're (Bristol area) are going to get 10-20cm, we had 4 hours of moderate snow earlier and amounted only 2cm. Just don't see it happening, hope I'm wrong and we also get half a metre!
-
I've noticed too although I'm a bit far south for that, looks like the main area of snow is forming a few light showers ahead of itself.
-
Carol just said there's a red warning for SW England whattt? Damn it I want a red warning!
-
Current Met Office modifications to the warnings, of what looks like to shift the amber warning to a later start period at 2pm.
-
The flakes are huge here right now, and winds definitely picking up, can't even imagine what it is going to be like with heavier snow later.
-
Looks like strongest wind speeds/gusts should be between 3-9pm, during the period of heavier snow. (Hopefully)
-
Non-event? You just have to look at the radar to see that isn't the case, a band of light to moderate snow moving in. I felt exactly about you this morning though, kept waking up having nightmares that we'll have no snow lol!
-
Just so everyone is clear about the Met Office Warnings, Yellow Warning of Snow is Valid from 8am. Amber Warning is Valid from Midday. If we were to expect a red warning, would expect sometime between 12-4pm.
-
Area of light snow to or south seems to be gradually increasing in intensity. Um got a covering here and I thought we had no snow??
-
Personally to me looks less marginal for us and more comfortably within the band of snow rather than the edge. Really now any eastward shift won't affect us with all that snow to our west.
-
NMM 18z, present another larger eastern shift.
-
My school/sixth form have just closed for tomorrow, something I didn't expect was thinking about Friday. Chew Valley School for those who wonder. (Near Dundry)
-
Few high res models modelled this, probably as a result of moisture advection for the Storm Emma.
-
Just to add, Ian said give or take 30 miles or so of white dotted boundaries.
-
Beat me to it bugger!
-
Ian’s thoughts on points west. Said about 30-40cm poss in most affected areas between 2 dotted lines.
-
High-res NMM model looking much better to me, a slight push eastwards. This is 4pm tomorrow, 12z first, 6z second.
