Ben Sainsbury
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Everything posted by Ben Sainsbury
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Freezing rain, isn't rain that is frozen in mid air, it's rain which freezes instantly when it hits the ground. -
Aha, I don't think the 850hpa temperatures are quite sufficient for freezing rain for our locations yet.
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Are you sure? Surface temperatures are currently -3/-4'c.
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Cawh I really do seem to forget how deep snowfall really is lol, just went out to measure and was around 8cm which is still a respectable amount given further snow tonight and tomorrow.
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Surprisingly more cars going in/out of Keynsham at the moment compared to earlier, NMM suggests strongest wind gusts to come at 9-10pm. May come hand in hand with the strong precipitation in the channel atm. Massive gust just came through, visibility extremely low for a brief moment.
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NMM 12z looking much better for band of snow for tomorrow.
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Slightly larger flakes other than snizzle beginning to appear here, about time after having light snow for a good hour.
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Don't be so sure, that big area of orange/red in the channel has your name on it!
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Our Amber warning is in connection with the highest possible impact, but 2nd highest likeliness surely the Met Office can be confident of another 4-6 hours minimum of heavy snow, the public need further warning.
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Correct although according to NMM, the positive uppers never really make it that much north than the south coast and so expect majority of precipitation to be snow besides maybe a little freezing rain on south coast.
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Just measured my snow depths in Keynsham, general consensus seems that (although difficult to measure through snow drifts) that my depths range from between 4 and 9cm.
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Agreed I mean well we're in the same location so it should, but visibility greatly reduced and still many many more hours of snow, would surprise me if the Met Office DIDN'T extend the area of the red warning.
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Not that looking at the GFS matters now, but on the 12z much of the red and amber warning areas are under continuous snow till Saturday at 3am!
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Your sir are a magician!
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Lets hope the heaviest of the snow arrives at the same time as the strongest winds/gusts. These look to arrive around 8-9pm with gusts in excess of 50mph.
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How are the flake size further south, because currently in Bristol it's still the same dandruff rubbish!
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To put it under context as well for snow amounts per hour under the dark orange/red, the rain to snow ratio is approximately 1:15 therefore 12mm/hr of rain for example is equivalent to 300mm/hr of snow = 30cm/hr of snow. Even the light greens of 3mm/hr = 45mm/hr of snow = 4.5cm/hr of snow so to only be witnessing the areas of green intensity can still dump 15-20cm in just 4 hours.
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Very true, only 18 years old so my memory can only extend so far Surprise me mother nature!
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I just can't quite see how we're (Bristol area) are going to get 10-20cm, we had 4 hours of moderate snow earlier and amounted only 2cm. Just don't see it happening, hope I'm wrong and we also get half a metre!
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I've noticed too although I'm a bit far south for that, looks like the main area of snow is forming a few light showers ahead of itself.
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Carol just said there's a red warning for SW England whattt? Damn it I want a red warning!
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Current Met Office modifications to the warnings, of what looks like to shift the amber warning to a later start period at 2pm.
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The flakes are huge here right now, and winds definitely picking up, can't even imagine what it is going to be like with heavier snow later.
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Looks like strongest wind speeds/gusts should be between 3-9pm, during the period of heavier snow. (Hopefully)
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Non-event? You just have to look at the radar to see that isn't the case, a band of light to moderate snow moving in. I felt exactly about you this morning though, kept waking up having nightmares that we'll have no snow lol!
