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Everything posted by throwoff
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Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
throwoff replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice to see some more positivity in here after a few days of miserable looking models. Still way off in FI but nice to see some options for cold and snow. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
throwoff replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
In the 80's? I think you forget quite how much terrible music came out in the 1980's... -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
throwoff replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This has been popping up since it was day 10… This is looking more and more likely by the run now. I think a decent part of the country is going to be pleasantly surprised Monday -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
throwoff replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It is of note that what was day 7 on Monday for early next week into midweek is still showing up in the runs as we hit 2 days out. I am starting to think that some decent snowfall is in the offing for early next week for swathes of the country. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
throwoff replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Some toys already being thrown. We are in the cold, there is a decent chance of widespread snow across parts of the country (south coast, SE and SW, midlands and Scotland) yet people are complaining! Sadly as with all snow/cold events the IMBY takes over and unless people are forecast blizzards in their own garden its a nothing for them. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
throwoff replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
A lot of the wise old posters in the mod thread have seen it all before, so often snow in the UK is a case of nowcasting not forecasting. If NW had a motto in the winter it would be 'get the cold in first' which we are about to have in spades. Once that is set up everything is to play for. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
throwoff replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Gutted to see all of you in the west feeling deflated, can’t wait for us in the eastern counties though -
True, but we are getting dangerously close to now casting territory for this event, in all the years I’ve been on here the one lesson that’s stuck is that once the cold is in and established (which I am positive we are heading into now) the models become more unreliable than ever, things change at the drop of a hat
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I have rarely seen the number of confused people on the mod thread. Normally between the pros and the talented amateurs we would have a fairly locked in idea of what is about to happen for the next 7 days, the models are not playing ball at the moment though and it is so up in the air. The cold certainly looks like it will be prolonged.