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snowangel32

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Everything posted by snowangel32

  1. Much better run on the 18z for wed/Thursday next week it clearly has the front stalling which is what we want to see, hopefully nearer the timeframe that mild sector gets mixed out as the cold gets entrenched. But if that front stalls somewhere could get 24 hours of snow where the boundaries meet. Why can't we just for once say it's going to snow without all this marginal debate this winter has been a form of torture for coldies lol.
  2. Costa you big tease lol, enjoy your holiday and copious amounts of snow. At least one midlander has seen snow here.
  3. 18z flip back to snow risk on Wednesday into Thursday, I think it will be Monday before this is decided we can't take individual runs seriously as the 18z has shown us. Somewhere will be the sweetspot that's for sure but where is unknown. spot the difference lol.
  4. Yh very true the classic garden path run I remember them well, but what gives me encouragement is that these charts are no longer deep in the realms of FI they are in the semi reliable if there is such a thing. A few slight tweaks and we could have a very interesting time ahead of us.
  5. Yh in my eyes one of the best runs of the winter so far.
  6. Yes as has been said very consistent from the 06z very unlike the gfs, but at present the SW misses out we need the snow line further west so the whole of the UK can get in on the party. But the snow risk is certainly there especially for London and the SE where the cold air hangs on for dear life. But expect the snow line to change at still 6 days away it's nowhere near a done deal. k
  7. Latest BBC forecast very underwhelming. Weekend drizzle then when the cold weather does arrive its bone dry until Wednesday then they have the Front coming in and giving us rain with maybe hill snow. Even with a NE we still can't get snow lol.
  8. With you there big snow, after this winter we deserve to be swimming in the stuff. Snowmen as far as the eye can see. And just for once the Americans can read about snow in the UK lol.
  9. Just seems like a big call at still a week away there is still big uncertainty over the eastwards progression of the front. And the express will jump all over this. They are normally so cautious so a big call they must have high confidence in this, we shall see.
  10. Looks a bit ropey seems to be the Moto for this Winter, although the cold air will be in place so it's all about the PPN but looking at the weekend the main lows look like missing the UK just leaving us with drizzle, big call from the BBC in my eyes they could be left with egg on there face to far away to call it.
  11. Looks like another let down all those snow symbols are now rain and Shef said very slim chance of snow, next hope next Wednesday lol
  12. Yh still could go either way dont like the latest fax chart but that also changes like the wind. This will go down to the wire. Glad you like Shefs charms lol
  13. Most forecasts are showing snow now for the Midlands on Saturday into Sunday but get what you mean from the previous let downs, model fatigue does set in. What will Shef show tonight lol.
  14. There's no getting away from the fact that it has downgraded, even though strangely enough in the last hour the met have me down for snow all day Sat. But people are just commenting on what they are seeing which they are more than entitled to. Especially this Winter.
  15. Yh it's just to marginal to call, seems last hour or so they are firming up on snow for the midlands which has to be good and our last marginal event the wind direction was coming from the NW then west, this will be from the NE so the chances have to be better. I always prefer the band not to be on us because you know when it comes it will correct further north or south lol.
  16. I know the feeling well lol, gd to see there's still some hope though but just can't see it. The only saving grace is the wind direction is coming from the NE.
  17. Just to add to the fun place your bets now please how long will it take for the Met to change it to rain lol.
  18. I wonder if they have the latest data, would love to see that happen though.
  19. This Winter has three things in common, the FI tease, the express gets wind of a potential snowflake and turns it into Narnia, then the third is the inevitable downgrade as the models start to move into the reliable and the snow charts turn into rain charts. Tease, hype, downgrade. Winter 2015/2016 in a nutshell.
  20. Looks pretty easy to me lol. Rain snow for the mountains it's just not Cold enough for any snow at low levels.
  21. Yh looks like nowhere in the UK will see snow now unless streamers pop up in the North of England. Latest bbc forecast had the lows further South almost missing the UK completely the same as the gfs pub run and temps also a degree higher. Seems this Winter just isn't going to spark into life.
  22. lol I know getting rid of old posts is a nightmare, and just been on Mod thread interesting post from Fergie he said currently they think it will snow in West Mids on Saturday. All subject to change though.
  23. Not liking those temps at all I feel this is another missed chance and only the mountains will get any snow look at those temps incoming in the SW. damm models fooled us again lol.
  24. Push it a bit further north and we will all be in the firing line looking at yesterdays run its already gone about 50 miles more north so theres hope but currently only gfs backing this all the other models say no. But a nice upgrade this morning.
  25. Gfs 18z has definitely been on the town tonight, snow chances a plenty for all of the UK, if London gets 10cm as shown on the 18z I will run through the streets naked. But in all honesty we all know come tomorrow morning the Gfs will be completely different the models are so volatile at present . Looks a tough job forecasting next week I don't envy the MET.
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