Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Lynxus

Members
  • Posts

    2,944
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Lynxus

  1. 4 minutes ago, Supacell said:

    I am staying put, or at least local. Not a bad omen, it is just that I think Belper/Derby may do ok tonight and I have no idea which way to go if I did chase. I have flashbacks to 4th July 2015 whereby I went out chasing  despite things looking good for Derbyshire. I saw the storm but only caught the tail end where Derby got hammered. I could have saved petrol and got a better show. Tonight looks similar.

    Gloucester is definitely a good bet though, well into the best risks on all forecasts

    I LIKE

    ...

    We have had some rain this afternoon, Nothing much. Its VERY windy, but clear currently.

    • Like 1
  2. 3 minutes ago, Convective said:

    Current TAFs for tomorrow sound very promising:

     

    Manchester (heavy rain showers, thunderstorms and hail): 

    231106Z  2312/2418 09009KT CAVOK PROB30 TEMPO 2318/2412 12015G25KT PROB30 2400/2410 8000 TEMPO 2413/2418 7000 SHRA BKN045 PROB30 TEMPO 2413/2418 3000 +SHRA TSGS BKN014 BKN025CB BECMG 2415/2418 15015G25KT=

     

    Birmingham (heavy rain showers, thunderstorms):

    231106Z  2312/2412 08012KT CAVOK TEMPO 2402/2408 9000 PROB30 2403/2408 BKN006 TEMPO 2408/2412 6000 SHRA PROB30 TEMPO 2409/2412 08015G25KT 3000 +SHRA TSRA BKN011CB=

     

    Cardiff (heavy rain showers, thunderstorms):

    231106Z  2312/2412 07010KT CAVOK BECMG 2315/2318 VRB04KT PROB40 TEMPO 2320/2409 SHRA BKN045CB BECMG 2321/2324 07010KT TEMPO 2409/2412 6000 SHRA PROB40 TEMPO 2409/2412 08015G25KT 3000 +SHRA TSRA BKN011CB=

    Yeah sounds promising. Gotta love the TotallyAccurateForcasts  ;)

  3. 25 minutes ago, Ndc Ozzie said:

    i live in rugby and got a text from the lovely lady saying she got thunder as i was at work.i was a at work at the royal mail site Royal Mail Distribution Facility at Danes Way, Daventry International Freight Terminal, Northamptonshire.19:35 I had text her and said i not surprised as it chucking it down here by 19:45 the  sound of the raid on the metal/perspex roof waas incredible it was like listening to white noise at full  volume.people where looking at  each other laughing,myself included as  you  couldn't hear yourself speak due to the intensity of the the rain.by  that time it was thunder and lightning every couple of mins or so with  what seem to increase in frequency.people out on the ramp filming the rain.20:00 the rain had stopped.soy i decided to go to the carpark for a vape and oh wow was i in for a treat.The rain  wall had passed and what  seem to be the battery of the storm was giving a wonderful display of vivid white lightning straight in front of me.Just to the right the clearly defined CB.beautiful cloud  to cloud jagged bolts zig zagging across with the sun right behind me as the cloud clearing the sun.That was probably the most photogenic storm i've seen in daylight hours.I was in awe of such wonderful display of lightning and cloud definition but sadded couldn't get any pictures of such beauty. I Wasn't  expecting Anything as nothing forecast but what a pleasant surprise.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paragraph

  4. 6 hours ago, Nick F said:

    Just a heads up with regards to the breakdown of the heat Tuesday PM into Wednesday this week, ARPEGE has been leading the way with regards to other models, namely 00z ECM and UKMO and finally 06z GFS, joining it in indicating instability developing/moving NE up across SE England and East Anglia Tuesday PM/Night to warrant potential for thunderstorms to develop here before the cooler air behind the cold front moving in from the west sweeps through.

    00z EC precipitation for 00z Weds

    ecm0125_nat_msl_t850_6urk_2018080500_072.thumb.jpg.b1f7af452fdd43d3e98530b22aba132a.jpg

    00z UKMO for 00z Weds

    prec6h_med_66.thumb.png.9a233c4fd69c2f18e195ede729c5aac4.png

    06z ARPEGE for 00z Weds

    arpegeuk-1-64-0.thumb.png.9e09eafede9cfa6a1b7612e3589d5fcd.pngarpegeuk-28-63-0.thumb.png.445dcb59bf2f145b263643c4fd39a9b7.png

    Still time for this to be shunted further east in the end though ...

    Booo Hisss

    ;)

    Every year we beg for the heat to get the storms and for the most part, its been pretty bland. 

    East seem to be doing well.
    Some very nice storms the last month or so. No so much for the west.

    I wonder if this weather pattern will hold into the winter? I mean, these kind of setups could bring us some very nice winter wonder. If it carried on as long as it has this summer, Maybe the country would be in a little bit of trouble. Lets hope it doesnt last too long aye?

    I do feel more acclimatised to the weather now.. Not sure about others?  This heat was painful at the start but now its not so bad. Blood thinning? (is that a thing?)

    Anyway, just some random thoughts in a fairly dry spell weather wise.

     

     

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...