SE Blizzards
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Posts posted by SE Blizzards
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surely the southeast would be in a snow event here?
As would many other places too i would imagine. But remember, it is only 1 run, many things to change i suspect between now and then, but things definitely looking good at the moment
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Control run at 120h...
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Ensemble 2 metre temps. The mean not rising above 2c / 3c from Sunday onwards...
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CMA at 168h
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Just been catching up on all the latest models etc etc, and i like many am very confused. Models are still all over the place. I really thought that by today we would all have some idea on how this weather pattern would verify, but instead we are all left scratching our heads more than ever
Interesting as to what simon keeling has to say about it all, he seems to be favouring the GEM!? Hmmm!?
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I think tomorrow will surely be the day when we find out the truth!
It's the ECM + VARIOUS OTHER MODELS VERSUS THE GFS!
Luckily for me i have an appointment with the doctor in the morning with regards to me struggling to get to sleep at night! (might have something to do with model watching), sad i know, but true! Whilst i am there i think will get an ample amount of prozac just in case this whole cold thing goes tits up!
Night all.
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For what it's worth...
I think that GEFS control is having it's 'wobble' just like the ECM had yesterday and earlier today!
Would expect it to change to colder outlook tomorrow.
Have to say that the GFS has been consistent all the way through this, and if this cold weather does arrive then i will most certainly be raising a glass to it!
Great days model watching. Let's all hope for more of the same tomorrow
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Top marks go to the GFS for not backing down and being so consistent over the last few days!!
Welcome to winter 2013 everyone
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=144&mode=0&map=0&archive=0
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Well, if the control is anything to go by all of the UK shut down, Snow, Freezing temps, chaos etc etc!!
http://www.meteociel...&mode=0&carte=1
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=192&code=0&mode=1&carte=1
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do you have a link for those ensembles ?? I.e where I can go find the one for my region ?
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs.php
just click the part of map in which u live and the ensembles will come up for your region
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Ecm 12z at 192 hours is the exact opposite of the 00z!!
You will struggle to ever see such a huge difference, just highlights the uncertainty at the moment.
yep, exactly what Ian F was saying .... 'wild model flip-flops'!!I
I really wouldn't look much further than 120h at the moment! Models clearly are all over the place right now!
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All will be ok because our good old friend 'Mr Swan' is back to protect us from any nasty Atlantic mild weather
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dont rate that cfs run - the depression on the 4th feb is too far north !
Lol, my thoughts exactly. That depression on the 8th/9th feb is also too far north.... but luckily that drifts SE and by the end of the run 13th/14th feb a scandi high builds, so its all good! lol
p.s - to all newbies please don't take too much notice of the CFS... i just posted it for a bit of fun!!
...No harm in dreaming though!
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I think the CFS has been partying too hard and is drunk!! Most of the entire run is Bonkers!!!
http://www.meteociel...&carte=0&run=10
Here's hoping for a freezing cold mid to late january and all of february!!
Happy new year everyone!!
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Snow risk chart for next friday according to the GFS 18Z....
One too many Christmas sherry's down the local me thinks!!
Having said that, i am starting to feel though after viewing the charts today that some sort of Northerly may be on the cards shortly after Christmas day!?
Hopefully tomorrows runs will firm up on this idea!
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Bollards to all the models today!!! Why won't they just be nice for a change and show us what we all want to see??
Go home models... You're drunk!!!
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WINTER IS OVER !!!! ....(someone had to say it) ! lol!
On a lighter note though... there is still 12 or so weeks of winter left so c'mon everyone.... cheer up
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Oh my god! Ive been model watching for a while now but never have i seen such amazing charts! speechless! I'm going to need a lie down after all this! lol
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Ouch!! I must admit, that GFS 12Z run did hurt a little bit!!
One plus side though... It is only the end of November so lots of time for things to change!
P.S - I think someone needs to send todays GFS 12Z to the express! lol
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A good 12Z GFS run. PV is mangled from start to finish.
We may not see The Big Freeze with the first bite of the cherry, but the potential IS there for further down the line!
Without doubt interesting times ahead!!
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I'll be honest, it's looking likely it will be colder than average the whole of this month...but with a few mild blips.
Agreed, colder than average.... but the express does have a tendency to 'overreact' at times! I guess only time will tell.
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Don't you just love the express!!! Lol
http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/360818/Icy-blast-will-last-a-month
Winter Model Discussion - 11/01/13 00z Onwards
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
I've always loved that CFS Model!!
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cfse_cartes.php?ech=-6&mode=0&carte=0&run=10