SE Blizzards
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Posts posted by SE Blizzards
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Someone said on here the other day that this spring might have a great chance of going down as one of the coldest springs ever this year and i've got to say that i totally agree because i really can't see this locked in weather pattern changing much over the next 2 weeks/maybe much longer than that. And even if the pattern does change then we really are going to have to see some record breaking warmth for spring as a 3 month period to get anywhere near average temperature wise.
Looking at the 12Z Ens and i'm afraid for all the mildies its more of the same... cold, cold, and yes you've guessed it... more cold!
One crumb of comfort for them though is that BST starts on Sunday
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Gavin, get the sun cream ready!?
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I don't think anyone is going to thank me for saying this, but i think the 18Z Ens are colder than the 12Z's
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April fools day brings -88 uppers into Northern England / Southern Scotland
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Sorry of the OT post but I found this April predictions video on the BBC world news channel very interesting it gives some data for the temperatures this Sunday and then the following Sunday and the UK remains under the blue colors (although not as deep a blue as this Sunday) right out at least April 7th
Wow, virtually the whole map is blue (below average) for a week on Sunday. I did however notice a tiny bit of yellow (slightly above average) around the Iceland area. Maybe would be a good idea for u to have a break there for a week or two?
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The latest CFS is suggesting this blocking will shift next month
Next month is April is it not? Those charts are for May (the month after next)
Meanwhile....
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Predicted ECM 10 day uppers chart from today's 12Z
Zero uppers touching the north of Africa in April? I wonder when the last time that happened?
Compare that to the same time 2 years ago....
Unbelievable really.
This current cold spell surely has to match the cold spell of December 2010. Maybe not in deep cold like that event, but simply in terms of the time of year it has happened and the longevity of it. Cant remember the last time it even felt slightly mild.
When will it all end? That really is anyone's guess right now.
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Coldest uppers starting to leave via the south
Yes, -6 / -8 uppers being replaced by -4 uppers! Heatwave alert?
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18Z Ens... As you were.
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Spring has officially been reported missing! Last seen about 12 months ago giving it large in parts of the UK!
If found please inform Netweather, where there is a £100,000 reward, which will then in turn be given to Gavin for putting up with a never ending winter!
This should cheer up the mildies...
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I wouldn't like to hazard a guess just how cold that GFS 18Z run would have been if it had been Jan/Feb!
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On and on and on it goes....
Just look at the state of Northern Europe, 1st week in April... Unbelievable!
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Another Cold set of Ens coming up...
http://www.meteociel...&mode=1&ech=144
There's just no end in sight.
This mean chart at 240h says it all really.
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Well not too bad from GFS tonight at least we do see temperatures get to a day time low of around 6c for many next week in England and wales with some southern spots hitting 8c as early as Tuesday
Then In FI we have the mild tease back again
Trouble is gavin, that mild tease has been showing in FI since sometime last year!
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GEM going for a Northerly at 144h with spring a zillion miles away far far away in another galaxy!
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Bitter cold on its last legs?!
http://modeles.meteo...run=6&runpara=0
Ens say differently, mean doesnt get above -5 850hpa until the 5th of April!
Yep, the mild weather keeps getting pushed back and back and back.... and back!
Ens look more like depths of winter rather than 4 weeks into spring with the mean not rising above -2/-3 all the way to the bitter end (no pun intended).
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Absolute bitter 12Z run from the BOM...
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=6&mode=1&carte=0
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As RP posted a 16 day chart, i thought i would post one too....
mind boggling control run chart for 10th April...
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Short term GFS London ensemble to April 2nd very low precipitation and staying chilly with most members staying below the zero line
A day or 2 ago the mean was close to the zero line on the 29th/30th. A definite trend to continue the cold no doubt about it.
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LOL I've seen it all now, a chart at 12 days out
It's even further out than that! Try 16 days!
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April fools day... With the joke well and truly on spring!!
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Well, it just gone 3pm and the temperature has not risen above freezing all day here, and i'm only 6 miles away from the coastline. Staggering for this to happen in the last week of March.
My feeling is that this Low pressure system in the Atlantic at the end of the week wont be making it to our shores, and its attempt to break down the cold block will end in one big epic fail.
Looks like the cold weather will be lasting for at least the next 10 days, and probably beyond!?
Anyway, onto the 12Z's. Will it be more of the same, or will there be an end in sight to this ongoing, seemingly never ending cold weather?
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By 'eck, these ensembles have trended colder since yesterday.....
Manchester area...
Yes, i think just about everything today has trended colder.
I must say as a cold lover it is rather special to see some of the charts on offer this late into March. I suppose in a way i can understand to some extent that some people are rather fed up with all this cold now and are dying for some warmth, but i remember plenty of winters in the past when mild early spring temperatures have eaten away at the last few weeks of winter in February, so maybe we were due a cold March. The boot is well and truly on the other foot this year. Of course we all know that spring will eventually have the final say and land the knock out blow, but for the time being winter is putting up one hell of a fight and refuses to let go.
The longer this goes on for the less time we have to wait till winter 2013/14
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LOL
Basically from start to finish... The ECM 12Z = 240 hour easterly!
..CRAZY!
Model Output Discussion - Heading Away From Easter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Yes, definitely growing support for a reload of sorts from the NE, and maybe some snowfall.
Something most certainly worth keeping an eye on in future outputs.