Neiller22
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Posts posted by Neiller22
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5 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
Looks fairly boring to me?
Was it the attempt at ridging you're referring to?
Yes. Small steps but an improvement from yesterday. I’m trying not to give up here!
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GFS u rascal!!
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49 minutes ago, booferking said:
Lads/Girls honestly the best teleconnections technical discussion bar none is in this site below go have read tamara matt Hugo bring back 1962-63 isotherm snowy hibbo all post in there regularly and what they have to say for us weather wise is
Pop in have a read.
https://www.33andrain.com/topic/868-teleconnections-a-more-technical-discussion/?page=22
cheers mate.
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10 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
Worst model output of the Winter today. Complete collapse of anything wintry out to month end.
aye. Its all gone pear shaped to be honest on current output. Still hoping it changes after xmas
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bbc newsline giving temps of 11 degrees on xmas eve!! think i can now kiss goodbye to any chance of seasonal weather. Honestly how many mild xmas's do we have to endure
i starting to fear the met office long range will start to delay the onset of any cold weather from now on with each update moving away from cold weather and snow in Jan
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27 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
They do mention fronts moving in from the Atlantic and we do very well out of those as the winds would turn South Easterly. Anyhow, shows how bad things are when we're talking about events three weeks away that may or may not occur.
Yep. And things 3 weeks don’t happen very often. All we can do is hope but for the first time I’m starting to doubt cold in jan.
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25 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
The Met Office seem bullish from the start of January, so fingers crossed.
They do indeed but more of an easterly now. Good for east coast of Ireland as a whole but cold and dry elsewhere going by that update. To me it’s a slight reduction in severity reading that. But def still going for cold mayb a smigin less bullish. All to play for though.
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Don’t venture in mod thread. It’s all going the way of Pete tong! Meltdown has taken over. Toys out of Pram etc etc etc
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Another warning for wind and rain. ! If only they were all for snow lately we would be digging ourselves out at the min. Anyway good things come to those who wait.
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43 minutes ago, ronan said:
Can't just say that nothing is going to happen around the Xmas period when even the models don't have a clue. Still plenty time for change.
Exactly Ronnan, As awful as i think the charts are at the moment and xmas looks mild I still think there is a high chance the models will flip right back to cold around Xmas . I expected them to flip from cold then to crap before flipping back to cold, Interesting times ahead i think. If nothing else its all good craic!
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8 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
The bad news is Christmas will be green, the good news is Neiller won't have to worry about working it now!
No sign at all now of the strat warming getting any cold into us soon.
Might be the end of January.
ha ha. Looking that way MS so beer and turkey for me now xmas day. Unless things change rapidly i think the Met office long range will start to move away now from the cold they were expecting. Def things looking awful last two days.
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15 hours ago, Neiller22 said:
Just bear in mind the models may drop the idea again and reintroduce during next week. It’s never plain sailing.
There goes the models dropping the idea of a white xmas as i thought would happen. Oooooo GFS you are so predictable. Next phase will be for it be re-introduced in a few days time
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Just bear in mind the models may drop the idea again and reintroduce during next week. It’s never plain sailing.
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4 minutes ago, ronan said:
This looks like it's game on for Xmas!! Once this pattern locks in I reckon we could be in for a very wintry January!!
White xmas or even a frosty xmas will do rather than the normal mild rainy crap we get.
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Will do. Benn there 14 years and this is only the 2nd time leave been put on hold ten days in advance. Something brewing I feel. Bummer is having to work xmas day now though possibly.
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No work at the airport. Obviously we are given advance weather information and basically it’s more positive than would be expected. Certainly post xmas and beyond is point of concern but as early as xmas eve is causing a few headaches so leave put on hold until nearer the time.
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I’m work this morn and all I can say is a white xmas and period after that Into January could be very interesting indeed. Contingency plans being put into place next week.
I had xmas day booked off and now been told that’s been put on hold.
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I am. Working tomorrow. And grumpy pilots don’t like wind so I’m sure fun times lie ahead.
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Nice wee weather warning surprise for tomorrow. Shame it’s rain and wind!
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Would be nice. U never know but something is afoot.
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Could come 24 hrs earlier MS. You never know.
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Great met office update. Can’t complain with that.
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Just a hunch. But I think this winter is going to be dreadful if it’s snow ur after. But plenty of rain a wind I feel. Making up for past 6 months of lack of rain. It always evens out.
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When I see an easterly forecast I avoid model thread too. They never happen and if they do it’s once in a blue moon they are only half decent anyway.
Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Neiller22
Certainly an NE or Easterly favoured outcome. Great for eastern areas of Ireland but poor for central and western areas. Hopefully there will be a variance of wind direction so everybody can be in the game.