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stainesbloke

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Posts posted by stainesbloke

  1. ANOTHER warm sector - here we go again! rain, sleet, snow, drip drip drip

    f f s it hasnt even started yet. Please say it wont be like that after all the waiting!

    That would be so disappointing, I'd think I'd have a meltdown lol. Good thing is France/Low Countries temps are dropping like a stone and that's where our air will supposedly be coming from so should get much colder overnight/tomorrow.

  2. Way isee it is like this ,yes we may get a day of snow fri eve sat morn, but judging the forward movement from the atlantic ,tempratures will continue to rise and the snow will melt fairly quick especially in kent, so i would prefere the system to take a more southerly route and go down in france and hopefully the cold will build back to our north and pull in the NE wind, which will be better in the long run for extended cold and snow prospects..

    Just the way i see it...

    .

    Totally agree with you. Most models show snow turning to rain in the SE, to avoid that the fronts need to keep further south leaving us in the very cold air. If we are to get 10 inches of snow only for it to start melting 12 hours later I'd rather it just rained to be honest, nothing worse than a slushfest! Anyway, could all change so I'll shut up now lol ;)

  3. having trouble at present posting fax charts

    saturday

    very cold and strong south easterly wind max 1-2 degrees

    weather front crosses the south east early morning

    this will be snow

    first low pressure incoming heading more south

    sunday

    cold and strong southerly wind

    another undercut looks possible late afternoon

    max 2 degrees

    this will change overnight

    block still strong to our north east

    If that's the case then hello slushfest. Daytime temps needs to stay at 0C or below. Better chance if the fronts stay to our S.

  4. Certainly in January 1987 and February 1991 I remember daytime maxima of -5 in central London and icicles the size of kitchen knives hanging off the black cabs. The Continent was ,however, considerably colder and we had straight Easterlies for the majority of those two cold events.

    Thank you. Most of the snow events I remember from the 80s had below freezing maxima day and night for a few days at least. All this marginal crap can go do one lol :)
    • Like 1
  5. Yeah, if this does turn out to be a cold spell like that I can safely say I've never experienced once. That's probably why I hate frontal snow if i'm honest, I've never seen it deliver anything other than snow > rain, whereas convective showers have often delivered more in recent years!

    A fascinating week or two coming up, either way!

    Brilliant post and spot on. I would gladly forsake snow this weekend to prolong the cold with a shot at a decent easterly......1987 anyone!!!

    Quite agree. I remember the big snowstorms of the 80s well, it was usually below freezing day and night for a few days beforehand, ground frozen rock solid, ice inside windows etc. I'd rather see this low head further SE and allow the really cold air to move in from the NE ready for the next low :) Snow turning to rain has to be my biggest weather pet hate! Saying that daytime maxima are progged to be at 0C or below from Thu...good stuff :)

  6. Epic Gfs 12z, I never thought a Southerly could be so coldlaugh.png

    It's a run choc full of reloads of snowy weather with lows tracking into the resident cold pool over the uk. Blizzards on fri/sat.maybe even on sun/mon and more to come next week. Hoping the Ecm 12z has a similar angle of attack to the gfs. These are amazing charts for such a close time scale, surely the undercut is now the favoured option and a severe spell is on the way for a large swathe of the uk, white- out conditions would occur unlike anything we have seen in recent years, even dec 2010 would be eclypsed if the gfs 12z or something similar verified, heres hopingsmile.pngcold.gif

    Lol, that has to the most hyped up post I've seen today :) I'm remaining cautious, have seen similar set ups in the 80s which delivered nothing or rain in the end. Big potential is there for sure but at this stage that's all it is. If the charts are showing the same on Fri morning I'll start dusting off the sledge!

  7. Hi Steelermark I am from the south so not quite true, I just see the 'improvement' overall and the slowing down of the Atlantic as each run/day passes and the shifting south of the jetstream.

    If this trend continues whether 1st attempt 2nd or 3rd snow will be had by most. Temps in south looking to be 0c daytime MAXIMA come Thurs / Fri. Bring on the fronts.

    BFTP

    Yes, some great charts churning out for the end of the week. It does look IMHO that the block will hold with increasingly cold temperatures across much of the UK. Good to see daytime maxima not progged to rise above freezing....that's really important and reminds me of many of the snowy spells in the 80s. I remember temps in those cold spells stayed sub zero for days, even in London. Awaiting further charts/info with interest!

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