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Everything posted by Weather-history
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Well my vibes got at least one of the summer months right.
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July 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Weather-history replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
RAF Woodford: 82hrs -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Weather-history replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, June 1985 and 2023 are poles apart and July 1985 looks like ending up a better month overall than this July. If August 2023 is an exact repeat of August 1985....... -
July 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Weather-history replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
So was July 2010 , it was even worse than July 2020. -
Manchester Summer Index 1976 301 1995 298 1983 278 1955 277 1911 274 2018 272 1984 271 1959 269 1975 268 1949 267 1989 262 2022 261 1947 255 1933 251 1901 249 1921 249 2003 247 1925 246 1935 243 1994 240 1934 238 1940 238 2021 238 1941 236 2023 236 (up to 23rd July)
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July 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Weather-history replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
June ended up not being that especially dry anyway. Local variations as always but June 2015 has a lower rainfall total than June 2023 for England and Wales. -
And July 1988 was diabolical.
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2012.
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Manchester Summer Index 1976 301 1995 298 1983 278 1955 277 1911 274 2018 272 1984 271 1959 269 1975 268 1949 267 1989 262 2022 261 1947 255 1933 251 1901 249 1921 249 2003 247 1925 246 1935 243 2023 241 (up to 21st July) 1994 240 1934 238 1940 238 2021 238
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I point out that the same poster said they expect to see a winter with regular 20C+ this decade in a post earlier in the week. And they are complaining about exaggeration?
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Its not a mass of heavy rain, live 9 miles from the ground to the west and by the looks of the radar it looks as though the bulk of the rain will pass through soon. So just hope there could be even be just an hour of play, today.
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The contrast between July and August 1936 was stark especially when it came to rainfall totals July 1936 CET: 15.3 August 1936 CET: 16.1 July 1936 rainfall for England and Wales: 138.0mm August 1936 rainfall for England and Wales: 28.4mm Rainfall in % terms for July 1936 England and Wales: 191% Scotland: 150% Ireland: 197% British Isles: 182% For August 1936 England and Wales: 39% Scotland: 70% Ireland: 45% British Isles: 48% Ross-on-Wye July: 147.3mm August: 5.8mm Holne July: 272.8mm August: 13.2mm Sunshine July 1936 Aberdeen 138hrs (-13) Dublin: 116hrs (-56) Chester: 127hrs (-33) Ross-on-Wye: 125hrs (-63) Kew: 139hrs (-56) Sunshine August 1936 Aberdeen: 177hrs (+38) Dublin: 169hrs (+13) Chester: 180hrs (+26) Ross-on-Wye: 185hrs (+18) Kew: 185hrs (+2) July 1936 was cyclonic dominated with above average rainfall, little sunshine and low maxima although minima were above average often. Valentia didn't record a single dry day. There was a windy spell in the south with gales on the 18th of July, Calshot recorded a gust of 59mph. August 1936 was a considerably drier month with high pressure much more dominating. The last week of August was very good with prolonged sunshine and dry weather. Maxima got into the mid to high 20Cs July 1936 August 1936
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