John88B
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Really looking forward to this cold spell. Some areas could see lots of snow, some hardly any but I think we'll all see some. All kicking off from Saturday night with snow showers or longer spells of snow coming in from the east then later in the week a strong chance of battleground snow as fronts try to push into the cold air from the south west. I think the cold air will be very hard to shift so these events could be good. All in all an exciting and maybe memorable spell of weather coming up.
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
John88B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Some of the negativity on here this morning is astounding. The models are showing a cold/very cold spell coming up, south included. For lovers of cold there's plenty of reasons to be cheerful and nothing to be negative about. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
John88B replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The saying is correct surely, as the days get longer from around Xmas in December, and January and February are on average colder months than December. -
Morning all. An interesting tweet from Fergie. Hopefully some tasty, wintry charts will emerge over the next few days that will bring the snow starved south into the mix, not just the north. Fingers crossed. Ian Fergusson @fergieweather 9hReplying to @TimmyTour Actually I'm unconvinced by current longer-lead daily output (of main operational centres) & any milder phases may prove transient. Priming for colder outbreaks seems omnipresent frm later nxt week into Feb: we need to be vigilant for sudden further switches in med-range emphasis.
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
John88B replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
A lot to be positive about this morning with upgrades in the model output and Fergie's tweet favouring much colder outbreaks from the end of next week into February. I would wager on some very tasty, wintry charts to start appearing in the next few days which will bring the whole of the country into the mix, not just the north. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
John88B replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I agree, I always back the met office. The models will probably upgrade again later but maybe not to the siberian weather some seem to hope for. The main problem being this is Britain, not Siberia! In saying that I still think this winter will end up on the cold side with plenty of snow chances for all. -
Good morning all. I asked a question on the model output thread that got lost in the frenzy of posting going on there, so was wondering if anyone on here could help me out. I was wondering what the OP and control runs were and whether they were somehow more powerful or reliable than the rest of the ensembles? A very novice question I know but thanks in advance to anyone who can help me out.
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Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
John88B replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi a real novices question here but is the OP any different to any other of the ensembles. Is it in any way more reliable or just another ensemble run?