less than 150m, ECM seems to bring an interesting setup with monday's low? has it seemingly in a snowy position, where as GFS has it miles too far west
Was never going to be any now at low levels, mild anyway/thaw friday, Fun and games should begin say this time on Saturday when the proper cold air hits us
Starting now to think about the slider low being modelled on GFS and ECM for monday 2 Feb, this is still FI but GFS is modelling it too far SW for snow this region
I think 06Z has modelled it a bit further NE, ECM modelling it even further NE, so far ahead may not even exist at all but possible snowfest if we get shifts NE
low levels have to wait until Sat night for the cold, all I can see falling from the sky upto then is rain, all models still look good from Sat night still, tits up on 12Z's? hope not but wouldnt be a shock
I think so, winds too westerly tomorrow night/thurs am for snow, when winds turn to the perfect angle NW, its too warm for snow, then Sunday snow is in the east, Monday wishbone, Tues high pressure building in
Still looks milder on friday, but before then low levels could see a bit of snow, turning sleety during thurs, rain fri
Sat night the cold air comes back in