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rory o gorman

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Everything posted by rory o gorman

  1. rory o gorman
    i think a foot will fall .CWT2012 for chief in the met office !
  2. rory o gorman
    its raining in uckfield now i think
  3. rory o gorman
    and we will take it . -6 upper strong westerlies good chance of thundersnow i would expect in western Ireland
  4. rory o gorman
    It is due to the cold pool of air to the East which is very dense its hard for the Atlantic to push through it hence it stalls . hope that helps
  5. rory o gorman
    i agree i think there is a overpowering of the atlantic by most of the models . The chances of an undercut are growing IMO.
  6. rory o gorman
    lol just saw this , it is very strange indeed reading in the heat . im in perth 35 C 60% R>H currently .
  7. rory o gorman
    The western polar vortex drops in the Atlantic albeit a modified flow i will take squally sleet increasing snow (-6 upper\ good WBFL) showers after 3 months in this oven western Australia.
  8. rory o gorman
    Preturbation 1 would do very nicely indeed
  9. rory o gorman
    bring on that cold zonal flow > will do much better for western ireland , thunder snow possible with some F.I charts on 18z
  10. rory o gorman
    the irish sea is on the backside, the land in question is it the warm sector.
  11. rory o gorman
    messy messy gfs , but the main thing here is it reluctance to bring in the Atlantic. heights also remain stronger to the north. for sure a long term upgrade .
  12. rory o gorman
    would have to agree with ians comments the front is far weaker and has embedded warm pools . disappointing
  13. rory o gorman
    i think the the GFS are over cooking the amplification of the low in F.I . the heights are amazing to the north this a huge upgrade.
  14. rory o gorman
    if this thing undercuts will lock in a 47 style pattern crazy
  15. rory o gorman
    HAHA that the SACRA club right logo right there . great heights building around iceland possible greeny high .at 141 now
  16. rory o gorman
    OH i like this http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20130112/00/114/h850t850eu.png my facebook page will go nuts
  17. rory o gorman
    undercut alert ! finally maybe ireland can get in on this
  18. rory o gorman
    not looking good for Ireland and the S.W thus far . gfs ens scatter is promising though .
  19. rory o gorman
    sorry again guys im irish was watching this a bit differently lol . there is great snow synoptics short term in the uk for sure .
  20. rory o gorman
    yes indeed great plume, its a common thread post 160 hrs but the way the models are preforming i have no major trust in it verifying,
  21. rory o gorman
    toppled.. there is just to much energy coming off the eastern sea board right now on all the runs .
  22. rory o gorman
    192 hrs looking poised to topple IMO
  23. rory o gorman
    great start to the ecm. shortwave drops fast with a good easterly. heights beginning to sink though at 168 hrs
  24. rory o gorman
    http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=01&model_dd=11&model_init_hh=00&fhour=84&parameter=WSPD&level=500&unit=MB&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false NAM 84 hour ejecting harder then before
  25. rory o gorman
    I will ignore the snipes being made yet . ICETAB that is one evolution indeed , my issue is with the ejecting shortwave from the usa. This is the first time ive seen a' ski jump' style trough in the medium term in 2 days . Again it may be typical U.S models with over amplification but its a worry.
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