birdman
Members-
Posts
165 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by birdman
-
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
birdman replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
108 hrs is a very very long time the way the charts have been of late! -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
birdman replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fair points. Just seems to me they're as useful as a chocolate fireguard but as you say, they're valid charts nonetheless I suppose at the moment FI starts in 5 days time! -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
birdman replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There should be a seperate thread for the FI timeframe nonsense! Would massively improve the quality of this one. -
Not t sure why the Met Office didn't put out flood warnings for today instead of snow as we've had alot of rain overnight topping up already high river levels.
- 79 replies
-
- river levels
- rainfall
-
(and 1 more)
Tagged with:
-
Don't worry, I like the short term models too. Better than that jab in the arm buzz/cold turkey FI stuff lol Saturday doesnt look particulary snowy to me could be more of a messy transitional affair?
-
Hope that lump makes it down to West Oxon! Nice to get a bit of a top up!
-
Thursday 14th January weather observations
birdman replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Quite tropical this morning in West Oxon at 9c although temp is starting to dip now. Just look at these the temp differences between here and the midlands! Dont suppose there will any snowflakes for us today lol -
It was much colder than forecast here in West Oxon last night at -4 ! It's currently 2 and very very grey. Was hoping for a sunny New year's day walk oh well! Have a good one whatever you're doing
-
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
birdman replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cheers. Looks pretty damn close to my somewhat untrained eye! -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
birdman replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks, yes I understand snow is difficult to forecast and its more about looking for the correct combination of parameters that are conducive for snow. I guess I was wondering how accurate the outputs are at that range but Its probably not a question of accuracy... more about the pattern or trend. -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
birdman replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
7 to 10 days ago how did the models handle this current cold/snowy spell? (albeit minor snow event) Or isn't that something this particular thread dwells on? -
Starting to get a nice dusting here in West Oxon. Right under the pivot so might get another hour or two out of it!
-
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
birdman replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Still snowing near OXFORD Airport although looking at radar it might clear to the south west soon. Oxfordshire done well out of this! -
About 6cm this morning so a decent covering and still snowing a bit! I see it didn't get much further north in the end so better luck next time
-
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
birdman replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
About 6cm West Oxon and snowing again...lots of schools shut! -
Yep it's still creeping north towards Coventry and starting to pivout westwards!
-
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
birdman replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Really coming down well here. Picking up too! Must be 2cm so far and radar looks like its going to deliver at least a couple of hours more. Pivoting around Bath? -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
birdman replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
-
I'm in West Oxon and it's snowing quite nicely. Small dry flakes but doing the job! I always thought we were quite well placed for this although it looked touch and go earlier. ARPEGE and HIRLAM appear to have modelled this quite accurately
-
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
birdman replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Snowing nicely here in West Oxon! Very dry, grainy flakes! -
Everyone should know by now, from years and years of model/radar watching that snow is notoriously difficult to pin down and while there can be disappointment there are often unexpected surprises too. The forecasts and or models haven't promised anything and to be fair have actually looked reasonably accurate so far despite the slight north/south alterations. Grab a beer, chill and see what unfolds