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Djdazzle

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Everything posted by Djdazzle

  1. Djdazzle
    Insane minima.
  2. Djdazzle
    Yes it’s an epic failure from the models (and pros) for today. I’ll reserve judgement on tomorrow!
  3. Djdazzle
    I tried to make a similar point earlier. The models have been pretty off the mark for today’s conditions at very short range. So I still think anything is possible for Sunday - Tuesday. Write off 40C at your peril! UKV had temps of 29 today, and it’s likely to be 32.
  4. Djdazzle
    Yes agreed about the high cloud - but that in itself wouldn't prevent some sunshine. It's been more like mid-level cloud.
  5. Djdazzle
    Yes, I saw those. But Meto forecast even this morning went for sunny spells in the south. Doubt it will be that low. Just the usual inter-run variation.
  6. Djdazzle
    Don't expect detail for next Sunday and Monday yet. The models were wrong about today only yesterday. Wasn't meant to be cloudy today.
  7. Djdazzle
    The 6z has actually gone back more to the high temps.
  8. Djdazzle
    Agreed. Small adjustments in this setup can make big differences down the line. What I would like to see expunged is the trend to bring in an easterly flow. The 6z seems to have bucked that.
  9. Djdazzle
    40.6C at one of the London stations (Monday 18th July).
  10. Djdazzle
    Don't forget though - the BBC will be using old data for their forecasts. This time yesterday, the record looked more likely to be broken. However, if the trend on the GFS 6z continues on the 12z runs, we may well be back in business.
  11. Djdazzle
    I think we need to see the 12z runs first.
  12. Djdazzle
    I think the GFS 6z shows that we shouldn't write off chances of breaking records just yet. We have seen this before. In August 2003, the peak of the heat was forecast to be gone before 9th / 10th August. However, as it approached, the models trended hotter, which is what actually transpired.
  13. Djdazzle
    In answer to a previous post, Paris is not always 2-3 C warmer than London. Today is a case in point, with London actually warmer than Paris.
  14. Djdazzle
    The usual under-playing of temperatures. They are always below what actually transpites.
  15. Djdazzle
    16 straight days above 21C is hardly noteworthy in July in southern England!
  16. Djdazzle
    To be any exceptional heat has always been way into FI.
  17. Djdazzle
    True - think we will see 5+ days 0f 30C, which is very good, with a couple of days topping 90F.
  18. Djdazzle
    As much as I don't rate the BBC forecasts, it shows what difference a small shift can make. Although unlikely, I wouldn't want to bet too much money against Saturday being very hot in the SE.
  19. Djdazzle
    I'd say an outside chance, but wouldn't rule it out.
  20. Djdazzle
    Date record on Friday is 33.9C, so could be under threat.
  21. Djdazzle
    True - this place is great, but it’s frustrating that some people never learn from past experience!
  22. Djdazzle
    And are people really believing rainfall charts which are often wrong at 24 hours away?
  23. Djdazzle
    The site is definitely faulty. Before this year, it hardly ever appeared at the top of the leader board.
  24. Djdazzle
    30C will be surpassed widely today. Already exceeding 28C in some places before midday. I’d say today’s max will be in the 32-33 range somewhere.
  25. Djdazzle
    Indeed. Somewhere likely to max at 32-33C by the looks of things.
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