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Purga

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  1. Purga
    Not overly exciting for the SE from METO today Outlook for Saturday to Monday: Cloudy again Saturday with some further rain at times. Becoming drier Sunday but also becoming colder and windier, and with sleet or snow showers in places by Monday. Updated: 1029 on Thu 7 Mar 2013
  2. Purga
    1937?
  3. Purga
    Hi Geordie - I did write notable rather than noticeable - not meaning to be pedantic mate. I' sure there will be some frost about but based on the T2M ens the nightime temps won't be especially low, examples below Mancheter not bad and could get to -5C So not notable EDIT : to put things into perspective the record for March was: March* -21.1 °C 4 March 1947 Houghall (County Durham)
  4. Purga
    Trouble is Steve it's the 06z - but I hope you are right - I have a nasty feeling this will end up as a pretty dry albeit cold affair. I posted the ENS earlier backing up my thoughts.cheers
  5. Purga
    A few flurries - similar to the last easterly shot looks likely.
  6. Purga
    So, a quick shot of cold on Monday, moderating through the week with not much snow for most of the UK appears to be likely from most of the models. Very dry cold ENS. No notable frosts look likely either. Not bad but hardly spectacular unfortunately.
  7. Purga
    What a cracker!
  8. Purga
    A cracking set of ENS
  9. Purga
    Yes - I'm much happier now having read that update, that we could be seeing something decent next week. I just hope this extends to the south and is not just a snowfest for the extreme NE / E.In fact I sincerely hope that all regions get a fair crack of the whip!
  10. Purga
    There was a notorious occasion back in 2008 / 2009 ? I can't recall exactly when (maybe somebody has it saved) when exactly what you described happened!It was one of the biggest debacles in cold model watching I can ever recall and left a very nasty aftertaste to this day. But, please, I am NOT saying a decent cold shot won't happen, it is looking pretty good, just that without UKMO fully on song, I'm very cautious. OK I'll shut up about now ... .......until the 12z - LOL
  11. Purga
    I agree with Nick that it is very worrying that UKMO is not really on board for anything really wintry, which is what is needed in march to make any impact. I can recall a few years ago when all the models except UKMO were showing mega cold - and guess what - UKMO verified and it went mild. Not saying it will this time, just wary.
  12. Purga
    Thing is they were refering to a 'cold easterly or north easterly wind' developing in the same timeframe yesterday.EDIT: relatively speaking Sleety it's delaying or the evolution in the SE which impacts on the whole country.
  13. Purga
    The METO aren't giving any hints of any early arrival of cold and in fact all references to 'cold' are removed from the forecasts up to Sunday, only 'chilly'. Outlook for Friday to Sunday: Mostly cloudy with rain or drizzle at times, perhaps a few brighter spells. Temperatures near the average, but wind and rain making it feel rather chilly. Updated: 0225 on Wed 6 Mar 2013 certainly squares with the RAW output this morning.
  14. Purga
    What does look decent is the ECM ens mean at 144hrs My concern is the UKMO and I'm hoping that tomorrow morning it has pulled its socks up.
  15. Purga
    A wretched fax and given the human input over the RAW chart c'mon guys it's a shocker let's not beat about the bush!It's always a sinister omen when UKMO are calling mild against the crowd.
  16. Purga
    Great ECM 12z! Excellent for longevity of cold and hopefully will really depress the sea surface temps in the N sea and Channel so that any mild gunk that comes along afterwards can be modified as long as it isn't too windy - until the next cold shot that is . No southward sinking of the HP to the NW which hopefully is taking up residence for the rest of springtime. Has Spring ever been colder than winter? LOL
  17. Purga
    A brief wintry toppler then from GFS 12z followed by a dreadful mild highjack in FI UKMO is a shocker to: Oh dear... Let's hope ECM brings more cheer!
  18. Purga
    I hope so because in the most recent easterly with very low dewpoints & uppers we hardly had a single frost with temps most just above freezing and gloomy overcast conditions night & day, not to mention a bit of dandruff floating around. Looks like a short lived snap acording to GFS with the cold being pushed east by the Azors High into the start of FI
  19. Purga
    Eh? no good for the south
  20. Purga
    Just edited your post a bit - with the greatest respect...
  21. Purga
    Well it looks like your Pyrenean LP magnet is working so cheers Nick!From this to this trouble is you switched it off for the UKMO!
  22. Purga
    Apologies guys, what I meant to convey was that the GFS model goes towards mild (trends) at the far end of FI - I did post the ENS before saying that the cold signal was still there, that's the trouble with doing a quick post when in a rush (toast in hand!)
  23. Purga
    Thank you very much John for your excellent and measured insight - so looking a bit uncertain then!
  24. Purga
    Still look ing cold o the ENS & ECM could easily go down the tubes. Goes very mild in FI with GFS Nothing cut & dried about any potentila cold spell yet just a few hints.
  25. Purga
    Great set of ENS this morning! Good precipitation spikes as well so hopefully we won't end up with another 'dry' boring cold shot.
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