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Purga

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Everything posted by Purga

  1. Purga
    John Holmes would strongly agree, Steve Murr would strongly disagree. So
  2. Purga
    But Nick YOU would be directly in the firing line AGAIN - LOL
  3. Purga
    Maybe so Nick and I hope GP is right because ECM 12z was nothing more than a mildfest especially for the south. Let's put it this way, I won't be expecting any posts from S Murr anytime soon at this rate!
  4. Purga
    Oh dear, where have all the cold runs gone? shoved further and further into FI I guess. Did Bluearmy suggest we were going into th freezer? Can't see it.
  5. Purga
    Yes and once the HP sinks SE the ECM ENS mean shows a -ve NAO setting up with the bulk of the UK in a mild S/SE flow. Although at T240 the cold does edge further South towards N Scotland - hopefully it may trend further South in the more relaiable timeframe.
  6. Purga
    Well before 12z fires up - it would be nice to see p10 of the 06z be the pattern that develops
  7. Purga
    Fair comment but the milder solutions still look favoured.
  8. Purga
    Probably because from t144 it's just a slow descent into mediocrity and a mild wet FI typified by
  9. Purga
    The ECM shows HP sliping away to it's favourite SE home rather than where it should be going - NW!Well it'll give Nick Sussex an early taste of Spring - barbie in the Pyrennes
  10. Purga
    I agree and having lived for a while in a cold continental climate where snow and sometimes severe cold were pretty much guaranteed throughout the winter months, there is nothing quite like the UK for winter drama!Although very frustrating most of the time, the rare times when some bit of real winter shows up albeit brief, is quite special, because of it's rarity. I must say that there are many occasions when I sorely miss 'proper' winter and try not to be too dismissive of what poor old GB offers!
  11. Purga
    It still all looks pretty uncertain to me, despite the mild clustering.
  12. Purga
    Oops - see what you mean - was too hastey scrolling through the run, well spotted the deliberate mistake - LOL!
  13. Purga
    Some cracking looking FI output from the pub run. Snowfest for the south - and yes - I do know it won't verify like that but it looks pretty.
  14. Purga
    Maybe but why in God's name couldn't we have had the epic charts and proper cold synoptics 6 weeks ago? Not that I'm not looking forward to some March cold and snow just that everything will be so much more marginal and brief if at all.
  15. Purga
    A shame indeed, as it would be a frustrating end to a frustrating winter which never quite delivered - if this verifies.Still a big spread longer term 06z GFS ENS with some very cold runs still evident.
  16. Purga
    Back to a decent easterly in FI with frontal snow for higher ground. miles away and just for amusement but a nice trend on the 06z.
  17. Purga
    I think when that was posted it was last night and the 18z didn't show a SWly - more like a cold cyclonic northerly.
  18. Purga
    Matthew Hugoâ€@MattHugo81 Overnight update of the EC32 model signals a lot of northern blocking into March with southerly tracking lows & below avg temps over the UK. Excellent!!
  19. Purga
    How about 10:1 for a SW spoiler?
  20. Purga
    Welcome March! Snow for you and snow for me....
  21. Purga
    Indeed and as highlighted by the ever cold trendung ENS Even more marked further north (Aberdeen) In particular the T2's are far from mild for the foreseeable.
  22. Purga
    After remarkable agreement of the runs up to the beginning of march, the Op was on the minority cold side of the ENS 0z but then so is the control run which is a favourable indicator. Now looking less likely for a warm 'flip' as may have seemed ealier this week.
  23. Purga
    Aren't they identical charts SK ??
  24. Purga
    ECM 12Z was a surprise with cold conditions throughout and most of the UK in sub 528 at t240. GFS 12z ens still showing a lot of very cold solutions longer term and with the Op a mild run ddiverging from the control which wants to go cold. Will be interesting to see how this one plays out - springtime on hold?
  25. Purga
    Some very tastey ens members - my favourites are: Most trending to warmer unfortunately but a significant degree of uncertainty later on.
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