Shunter
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Posts posted by Shunter
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About 3hours of moderate snow here but not settled anywhere yet !
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Light squall of snow in Bromley now, melting on impact
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Actually looking at the radar a CLASSIC kent streamer is still raging-
This is alligned across the Estuary- diving in through Areas like Inn on the lake & Driving all points SW- With the convection as it is & slow propergation of the change in wind to a North - this is set for a few hours!!!
It should move east towards the Medway towns!!
I'm next to the Inn on the Lake and its persistent light snow with occassional heavy burst.....depth about 7cm
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Heaviest snow of the day here now.....visibility 40m tops......wind is howling..........everything covered and stacking up in sheltered spots. -2.3c
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Can see clear skies out to west but still on the edge of the showers here. A light covering everywhere and drifting in an eddys ( sheltered areas ). Temp -2c
Be interesting to see if the channel low enhances or kills the convection. If its the former then it's gonna be a good night.
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And here we go again wow that wind is evil!
Total whiteout in Bromley........everything covered in 5 minutes...heaviest of the day
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What's its like around Bromley/Elmstead Woods area?
Cold, windy a few flakes.....one or two heavy showers have passed but any lying snow has just blown away
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Short sharp shower here.......left a few flakes on the car roof but melted on paths and road. Temp 0.6c Steady
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Could be an egg on the face moment.................hopefully!
Remember BBC use essentially delayed info ( t -12hours ) so they would still be forecasting on last nights MO output. Looking at IanF's recent twitters it seems that MOGREPS back the EC solution albeit with a delayed timescale. Therefore in essence I would lean more towards a slight delay in GFS/EC solutions with the UKMO making inroads to the same conclusion on the 12z output later this afternoon.
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Stopped and brightened here, slight accumulations where wind has drifted it. 0.5c
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Medium snowfall now , laying everywhere. Temp 0.4c
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Light snow blowing around here, regular size flakes too not dust
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GFS continues to struggle badly.
whoever funds and devlops this model must be surely thinking scrap it or upgrade it??
GFS is US centric, are they really going to give a hoot over the accuracy of their MRF in North West Europe?
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Massive flakes falling here but onto saturated roads etc...not stopped since yesterday at 9am to my knowledge. Temp 1.1c. NW extra radar says only sleet now but still generating in the Thames Estuary.
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Looks like a thames streamer kicking in?... been going on all morning so far, settling on roofs etc but not on roads and pavements, unless it perks up.
Ye XC Weather shows the wind has veered just North of East so ideal for North Kent Coast ( Dover to Bexley ) if it continues.
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Still snowing lightly here ...about 5cm's on grass, cars etc but very wet composition and thawing fast. It has been a strange Winter to date, delivering a fair bit of Snow in marginal situations throughout. Strange also in the low frequency of Frost and dry weather.
I think MRF has taken a step backwards also this winter....some of the forecasts in particualr by GFS & EC have been at times totally "out of kilter" with the anomolies shown only to be aligned from T48 down, To draw a balance though the "nowcasting " for Rain to Snow" has seen a general improvement particularly from our own MO and I'm sure this has helped our Emergency Services and the general public plan contingencies.
Would really like to see some Dry weather now though, the fields and gardens are saturated from 10 months of almost constant rain.
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Don't quite get the reading of ECM ensembles as being good. 75% are above the 0 degrees line for 2m temps from Thursday onwards (and this is from De Bilt, further east and more susceptible to colder easterlies being on the continental mainland.) Would mean frost at the best, cool but dry - perhaps some convective snow showers into The Garden Of England if the ECM 850s come off at the 216-240z range. No prolonged cold there for the majority of the UK. I realise it can change but I think some members are getting so desperate for deep cold that they are reading the output wrongly.
Must admit I am thinking the same, gfs London ensemble mean for 0z is above the 0c mark from Thursday through day 16.
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Temp steady at 0.7c after dropping to 0.4c earlier. Slushy mess on car windscreen , nought elsewhere....looks to be turning back to sleet again, no intensity unfortunately.
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Temp now 0.9c dropped 0.6c in minutes. Smaller flakes now as snow starts to dry , just starting to settle on grass. 100% snow now at 16:40
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About90% snow here now, nothing settling . Temp 1.5c and dropping
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First pink pixels appearing on NW Extra radar ( indicates Snow ) near Eythorne in East Kent
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DP's are lower towards the far South East. 3-4c between gatwick and stansted . Lowers to 0.5c at Manston then -1c at the Sandettie light vessel in the North Sea. Expect these to lower as the winds swings to east of south. Hopefully gonna be an interesting day in the SE corner.
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UK news today!
So what if NE America is getting 2 foot of snow! Couldn't care less.
Its raining in New york atm..............................
http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/index.php?goto=live
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FYI....See Piers C is ramping up the cold for UK & Europe in the next few days in his latest headline release..........http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=513&c=5
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 23rd March 2013
in Regional
Posted
Temp 0.8c. 80/20 Rain/snow mix .....10/10 on the cold/raw and miserable scale.