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MAF

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    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Snowangel-MK said:

    I’m 50/50 on the Christmas forecast it keeps changing like … mmm well the weather really 🤔 all depends when and where you look and what you would like to see / believe - the proof of the (Christmas) pudding will be in the eating ( I’d probably choke on the sliver sixpence knowing my luck ) it would be a nice surprise to open the curtains to something white on the big day even a thick frost would be good imo ⛄️

    IMG_7384.jpeg

    I am quite white' ish 😜 😄 😄

    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    58 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

    Ha ha, I use way too many abbreviations but I would never not explain them to someone if they were struggling. 

    see, thats my problem, if i write a report in work i would give a full meaning of an abbreviation the first time i use it and then the reader knows from then on what that abbreviation means. not expect the reader to know the meaning immediately. just seems like common sense to do that to me 😄

    • Like 2

    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    12 hours ago, lassie23 said:

    Can you please share this post in the model waffle thread, it will save people from wasting their time hunting for non-existent snow lol

    Last time i posted there i was shot down in flames for asking posters to elaborate a bit more and stop using abbreviations without explaining them. never again! 🤣

    I am quite a literate person, but some of the stuff posted in there is complete and utter tripe sometimes. 🙄

    • Like 2

    SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by MAF

    🎶 It's beginning to look it's not like Christmas - Damp, grey, cool, and dark... not the best of weather run-ups towards xmas and in my very novice weather forecasting head i reckon xmas day will be much the same (IMBY) as what today day has been*

    *based on many years seeing how the trend always goes in a mild direction when you least want it to. 

    • Like 1

    Model Output Discussion - Into Winter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    5 hours ago, LRD said:

    Hello darkness my old (winter) friend

    image.thumb.png.7bfb277b2128850f1e7d7dd05490a884.png

    Hello darkness, my old friend
    I've come to talk with you again
    Because a vision softly creeping
    Left its seeds while I was sleeping
    And the vision that was planted in my brain
    Still remains
    Within the sound of silence.

    No sound of silence with a fresh snowfall looking likely come Xmas week here in the SE though 😞

    • Like 2

    SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion

    in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion

    Posted

    53 minutes ago, Snowangel-MK said:

    Would be a dream come true as long as my family are here before we get snowed in ⛄️

    So what are the odds ? not that I’m likely to have a flutter or a flurry for that matter ! 

    It was frosty last light but by this morning it’s just another damp dull December day that’s only fit for watching Christmas movies and gift wrapping so that’s what I’ll be doing, was supposed to be going to Stratford upon Avon Christmas market but feeling under the weather in more ways than one ! 
     

    Don't forget to wrap my one up 😉 😛

    Hope you feel better soon 😄 

    • Like 1

    Model Output Discussion - Into Winter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Just now, bluearmy said:

    I doubt he could be much less technical.  If people are struggling then there are learning areas on the forum and in addition, uncle Google is usually very helpful. 

    yes mate, i don't disagree. just wish some of the more experienced posters would make reading and thus interpreting posts easier for the lees knowledgeable. I'd much rather read posts where i don't need to wander off to other resources to interpret them, just my opinion. and having been around a few years now i understand the frustrations of seeing things posted and not fully appreciating what the poster is relaying because of the technicalities of the post. as a degree qualified engineer i am not lacking in understanding of things, yet the weather often is so complicated at times. 🙂

    hey ho, time to stay out of the models thread again ... 😄

    • Like 3

    Model Output Discussion - Into Winter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    3 hours ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:

    What they mean? Ie the op the det run and the control run are similar..They are 2 runs from a possible 30 runs on gfs and as much as 50 on the ecm. With each run being started from a slightly different variation in initial conditions..the det tending to be higher resolution with the op 2nd..The mean is roughly an average of all ensembles in the run.

    eh??? in english for us lesser educated weather folk please. 

    Not criticizing you but for the novices here fuller explanations, less abbreviations, more depth in posts would help immensely. I've been here long enough to understand most posts, but i know how hard it is when i first started interpreting posts that for beginners it's a nightmare.  no offence intended 😄 😄

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 2
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