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KTtom

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Everything posted by KTtom

  1. KTtom
    The low which bought the excitement yesterday evening via ecm seems to be absent this morning so far...maybe this increases the longjevity of the cold but its a shame if we miss out on a potential memorable event again.
  2. KTtom
    As much as I would love to be wrong, 'that' ECM snow chart just has to be wrong.
  3. KTtom
    Was just about to ask where Ali was with the snow chart for that...A IMBY chart, I would certainly bank that.... if only
  4. KTtom
    You wait till it shows a Scandi High! I love the way everyone tries to cover their backs ... ' despite its shocking performance, here is the 384 chart showing an easterly breeze'
  5. KTtom
    Yes, very nice, do you have uppers?
  6. KTtom
    This up-coming cold spell is going to be brutal! Temperatures for my location are forecast to go plummeting to 7 degrees by the middle of next week.
  7. KTtom
    192 and were back to square 1, what a difference in 12 hrs.
  8. KTtom
    Wow, disappointing an understatement from that chart!
  9. KTtom
    Ecm the pick so far...for southern areas, be interesting to see a snow chart..
  10. KTtom
    Im feeling an uneasy tense atmosphere in here, no comments on gfs and ukmo...waiting on ecm...? Gfs still seems insistant on building heights over us and then to the east, short term pain, long term gain....im not sure what to make of ukmo, day 7 not so great but maybe better by day 8 if it went on ?
  11. KTtom
    Where we can, and probably will continue to disagree what falls from the sky, two things look odds on, its going to get a fair bit colder, and this time, its not going to be dry! I would be very excited if I lived in an area mid wales to Wash north...would even get the sledge out of the attic if I lived up a hill!
  12. KTtom
    Yes, long may it continue, one thing I hate are storms, they tend to be very expensive!
  13. KTtom
    No-one said the chart was correct...clearly says example! I didn't even look at which model it was from, just picked it from Nicks post as it seemed to represent what I would expect from a NW.... its actually an improvement on what the professional are saying and wheather we like it or not, we are not one of them.
  14. KTtom
    I think this chart Nick posted above is a very good example of what to expect next week. Snow very likely for Welsh Mountains, High ground central and northern England and lowland Scotland away from the west coast. Anyone expecting more will end up disappointed unless the models and Pro's (better not mention Met) change tact dramatically. Elsewhere, cold and wet during the more unsettled periods.
  15. KTtom
    On the face of it ECM pretty good at 168, the northerly flow however isnt sourced directly from the arctic though,rather circulating around the trough, hence 850's dont look cold enough for low level snow in the south. The flow doesnt stay long enough, what half decent uppers we get are blown away by 192.
  16. KTtom
    Really need to see relaxation of that deep cold to west of Greenland so the azores high can ridge far enough north to force the Scandi trough south.
  17. KTtom
    Looks like it. The Met still saying a firm no to anything other than wintry showers for the north. Temperatures mild to average for the next 2 weeks at least.
  18. KTtom
    I really struggle to understand why people prefer 5 degrees and driving rain to 12 degrees and driving rain? I know the current pattern is a bit tiresome but there are benefits. Today is a sunny day, get out and about and you can actually feel the sun on your face.
  19. KTtom
    Some potential past day 10 ecm as we loose the deep low heights from the north west, apart from that its more of the same, colder up north, enough for wintry showers on hills past day 6. Bar has been set very low if your excited by this output.
  20. KTtom
    Does Paul charge you for every word posted, your posts suddenly are void of detail? GEM looks ok for northern hills, no more than that especially as its all past 144 hrs and we know the trend with uppers as we get nearer T0. This mornings out put wouldnt raise an eyebrow in previous years.
  21. KTtom
    I'm stuck between the bar is very low or 'likes' are very important to some the charts causing 'excitement' would have been described as dire in previous years. A slightly colder version of what we have now doesnt float my boat .
  22. KTtom
    Great post Im a snow lover, but come over as the opposite on the other forum just because I feel obliged to dampen down expectations from what some seem to see in the model output... In hindsight the 'hunt for cold' thread was a good idea with a general model discussion thread run in parallel... you do tend to get a biased view in there just because those who dont agree with the cold potential dare not post their thoughts.
  23. KTtom
    Still not even a crumb of comfort for those in the MOD thread after todays update, in fact, the period post mid month the Met are forecasting it to get milder!
  24. KTtom
    I agree, still go on about the rediculous forecast they put out in mid November talking about high pressure being in charge over eastern areas with snow showers in the west...a synoptic impossibility. Just get a feeling though that there would be some hint of a major pattern change in their forecasts if we are to get one in Jan / early Feb i.e. colder.
  25. KTtom
    Desperate times for winter 2022 / 23 prospects, things are so bad the JMA model is being rolled out and any mention of the Met Office is banned
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