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derrylynne

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Posts posted by derrylynne

  1. Not necassarily, last week it rained here when the ground temp was 1.5 and dew was -0.5 because the upper air temps were on the wrong side of marginal.

    Honestly I really don't share the belief that ground below 300m in Wales will get even 10cm let alone 30cm so that is why I am warning you guys not to get too hopeful because this could be a real let down.

    I would be happy if you guys got snow, just lets see what happens tomorrow...

    You had warmer upper air moving in when you had the freezing rain over there. Was an ice skating rink in Lincoln too. With no warmer upper at the moment and the temperature still dropping along with the dew point I would be surprised if it rained..Ian Ferguson has much more data at his disposal than we ever see here on the internet so what he said has to be taken seriously. Likewise I have warned those I know - with the caveat that if we are lucky it may fall as rain but best be prepared. Better than seeing people stuck with no bread or milk because they did not know what may happen...

  2. Still looks maginal on s wales coast the snowrisk chart wales will get a battering 50cms travel caos.Still though as its cold air will dig in given us a few cms in coastal regions before clearing.

    Looking at the latest it seems us here in upper Valleys are going to get buried. This could be the worse snowfall here for very many years with none going anywhere for days after this starts falling. Must admit we went out and done a full shop today so we are prepared. But a hell of a shocker to see that we may get up to 50cm - that is over 19 inches - without the drifting. This could be an interesting ride...

  3. Happy days -Yes but you are only talking about 70 odd miles. The charts are not set in stone - and even the day before they cannot predict the exact course of the low - or just how far the cold will be to this degree. We can only get an idea of how far south the snow will be. But - even if the rain turns to snow in North Wales and gives a dumping - that will move South and effect the whole of Wales in the output the next day. New year looks to me to be something I do not want as I want to go over a mountain to friends. My bet is for the snow to be too deep to even think about it. As said in a previous post though - I am expecting an upgrade tomorrow when the missing data is filled in....

  4. There is data missing at the moment because of the Christmas period. Why not wait till the charts come out tomorrow before passing a firm opinion?

    Myself I tend to think when the gfs and ecm come out tomorrow they will throw up something completely different to today. Just of course my opinion.

    I don't want snow - but if that is what we get we get it - but the bickering is silly - at the end of the day we are only looking at charts and trying to figure out which way the WEATHER is going to effect us.

    Looking at everything at the moment my guess is there is going to be more cold than we want by the middle of winter - anyone want to pay my heating bills.

  5. If you'd like I'll pull up some images from the Weddell Sea where Larsen B used to reside so you can see a sight not witness for over 12,000yrs, the melting back of the sea ice to the coast, all thanks to global warming.

    And there it is. It has happened before. The earth has been warmer than the present day. It will one day cool. And then warm again. And hey. It will not mean the end of the world - or man - if it warms a little. But if it was to become an ice age - that my friend would be the end of man or society as we know it. Warming has happened before. Apart from that there are many reasons why the ice in places is melting. For instances there are places where it is in fact colder now than before - yet ice loss has accelerated. There are a lot of things about the mechanics you or I do not understand - and as one small variable can make a huge difference - we can only speculate. But as ever I am always interested in ice loss - and ice expansion.....

  6. Hi i'm trying to find out some information on the highlands town of grantown on spey, basicly i'm about to book a christmas holiday there and would be staying in the town. We are going by train to aviemore and then bus to the village so would have no transport when we are there. So what I am trying to find out is if there are mountains and ski slopes in walking distance of the town.? any help would be appreated as it is a rather large deposit that's needed. And if anybody knows about the highlands it's you lot on netweather :)

    Thanks in Advance

    Chris

    p.s If this is in the wrong section could you move it to a section where I will still get the help I need thanks. Fancy a bit of snow this christmas .

    I just done a simple google search on Granton, spey and there are pages of info..... :D

  7. WeatherOnline going for a completely dry September in some southern parts?

    http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/feature/2007/08/26_tma.htm

    Sounds like an identical pattern to all Septembers from 2002-2006, to me. The extroridnary, unprecedented and exceptional run of freakishly hot and dry Septembers looks set to continue?

    To be honest after the complete lousy summer we have had I would welcome an extraordinatry, exceptional hot September. Summer in Autumn - bring it on.... B)

  8. No we couldn't! Even 9 or 10 months is completely and utterly insignificant in regards to long term climate trends. Even if we have 5 years of cooling, considering warming has been going on for a good 200 years, that to is far far too short a time scale to make any kind fo statement like "global warming is slowing". Maybe 10 or 15 years might be a start to suggest something, but a few months? No way.

    And yet every heatwave - every year above average is announced as through global warming. It has long been apparent that pro GW will announce every event as proof of such. Even if we entered an ice age next century they would say it is prrof of nothing and it is still warming....

  9. September: The first two weeks mainly dominated by high pressure so plenty of sun and warm days - but cold nights. From then becoming unsettled and cooler at times with much rain including thunder at times.

    October: Wet and wild but a warm spell (an indian summer perhaps) as high pressure ridges from the azores for about five days. Rainfall above average and temperatures about average. There will however be some widespread frosts - an unusual feature for October nowadays..

    November: Starting foggy and damp before becoming unsettled in the first two weeks. Snow in November as cold weather moves down from the north. The month ends cold with some sharp frosts....

  10. Well the hurricane season is starting to kick off with the noaa still expecting an above normal hurricane season even more so now than there forecast in may. La nina is still moderate and so all in all we have a chance of a good winter season for the uk. My main concern for this winter would be the pressence of high pressure over the uk. But we will have to wait a while to see what is predicted on that front. Awaiting the next met office update on this matter and am expecting them to remain with a slightly below avarege season .

    A high pressure system over the uk. What a wonderful thought to have a high pressure system over the UK all winter. Sunshine by day with cold frosty nights. Beats the mild and drizzle with low cloud we suffer for endless weeks here.....

  11. They should offer it as a DVD on Saturday with Steve reading it from a Log Cabin in Lapland.

    He could have reindeer peering through the window and Francis Wilson miming the weather as he reads.

    Then Play.Com can sell the double disc with extras - forecasters commentary, interactive synoptic charts. The outtakes - Steve forecasts a Bartlett, Francis Wilson falls over.

    Hell, I can see a range of Steve Murr merchandise coming out of this, its genius!

    Only one problem there. Many parts of Lapland are having record warm temps. In fact snow is melting fast and in some parts all but gone. Never mind the igloo or ice palace it will be bbq's there...

  12. Humans are too lazy to put rubbish in the bins(easier to throw it out of the car window) they are too lazy to take trolleys back @ super markets(easier to just dump it where you parked) It saddens me how society has gone. I fear there is no hope to kerb emissions with the general mentality that is out there.

    Well said. Sums it up well. If people can't be bothered to take their rubbish home they won't give a toss about anything or anyone but themselves....

  13. It is rubbish to say we cannot adapt to a changing climate. Since when has the climate been stable? How do we cope when we fly off to Greece, Spain, Turkey or some other hot tropical shore for our holidays? Do the locals in them hot spots drop dead with heat every year? Of course not. We may have a climate more akin to the Med in years to come but there will be a lot of ups. Less old folk dying because of the cold. Tourism on the up. Lower fuel bills because of a warmer climate. A much longer growing season - Ok we will be growing different produce. To say its all doom is complete tosh…

  14. Well I think Joe Public will start going into switch off mode soon. Another Beeb rant on the news this time the power will go off becuase we'll melt in summer. Whatever happens if it gets cold your powers going off if you get warm it's going off.

    Sounds about right. Seems some people are only happy when they are trying to create panic. I agree a warmer UK would be good for us. It's not all gloom and doom...

  15. Interesting one this one isn't it. Although I tend to think after all this cool weather we have had that summer will be a wash out I also tend to remember Spring 1976 that was no great shakes either. Often wet and cool. In fact many areas had snow on June 1st that year. Then we had the best summer we have ever had. Could there be a repeat? :angry:

  16. a rather harsh frost here as well ES.

    looks like the cloud thined enough for it to get cold.frost now all but gone apart from in the shadows.

    <{POST_SNAPBACK}>

    Cold with sleet here in the South Wales valleys. current temp 3.3c. Humidity 98% and barometer 1018mb.

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