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Everything posted by Ross Andrew Hemphill
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Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
That 'kink' in the path to turn it more northerly looks odd to me, especially with the strength of the storm but who knows really. -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Met Office have issued a yellow warning for wind on Tuesday, focused on Central Scotland stretching down to Northern England, and of course Northern Ireland. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/warnings/uk -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Has there really been a shift west? The track seems to be closer to Scotland? -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Would greater strength push it further east? In terms of forcing the euro high. -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
God this is fascinating stuff! -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Do you have a link to that? Thanks. -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
My God I'd love 110mph to hit here! Although I'd hate it at the same time... -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
I don't like this run at all, further away than it was before from my part... -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
ECM: GEM: GFS: UKMO (around the same time): GFS really is on its own in this selection of models, with the rest going for a more direct hit on the UK. Yes the winds are weaker with Ophelia further east, but still significant with 80mph+ looking likely. The eastward corrections are definitely more exciting. -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
It will need to sustain characteristics of a hurricane, but by the time it arrives in Ireland it won't have those. A storm can have hurricane force winds and not be a hurricane, like most winter storms the UK experiences. -
Hurricane Ophelia
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
The Met Office have issued a yellow warning for wind for Western parts of the UK. I find that really interesting considering it's forecast to stay pretty much out in the Atlantic. They mention the chance of 80mph gusts, so do they know something we don't?? https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/warnings/uk -
Model Output Discussion 01/09/17
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All I need is two dry days to do the last cut of the grass but the models aren't delivering! -
October 2017 C.E.T. forecasts
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'll go for 9.3C... An average to slightly cooler start, with a gradual cooling thereafter due to that lovely scandi high edging over! -
Hurricane Irma
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to summer blizzard's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Meaningless? -
Model Output Discussion 01/09/17
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The next 2 weeks look rather changeable in my area if you ask me... -
Hurricane Irma
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to summer blizzard's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Quite concerned for my relatives that live in New Jersey. Some of them lost everything from Sandy a few years back and I couldn't imagine how it would feel losing everything once again... -
Hurricane Irma
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to summer blizzard's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
I checked Accuweather this morning and they showed Irma as a strong tropical storm. I came on not that long ago to check if it was a hurricane yet and it's already a category 3!! That's some explosive development... Quite amazing but scary at the same time. Models going for another US hit, and if it's already a major storm this far out in the Atlantic then God help whoever is in her path. If conditions are right there's the chance for 170mph+ gusts... Don't want to think of the damage that would cause in the poorer Caribbean countries.