andy_leics22

February 6

MattStoke As we say here in Leicester... "OOHYA BEAUTEH!"

February 6

Metwatch It could be that borderline Coalvile always tends to fare a bit better as they're 150-200m ASL. Where I am in Ratby, we are around 110m ASL, so we have a bit of height but not much. I wish we were 200-300m ASL here, because we would be in with a much better chance

February 6

MattStoke The strange thing is, despite the downgrades from the UKMO, my Metcheck forecast for Thursday is a big upgrade. I wonder what model is used for that forecast? Maybe the ARPEGE? 0c for most of the day, surely not Only yesterday morning it was showing 9c by 10pm on Thursday. Massive difference now.

February 6

MattStoke BANK!!! I hope that happens

February 6

MattStoke The snow totals do look lower here on that update I think the warning will come back for Stoke but maybe not Leicester and surrounding areas.

February 6

MattStoke

That's bizarre! The latest runs show heavy snow on the leading edge. I don't know what they have access to that we don't.

February 6

MattStoke That's true! Got the 12 week scan for my girlfriend on Thursday to see how baby is doing, so I hope the roads will be clear but I do want to see some heavy snow. I think you'll do well in Stoke, you'll have snow for longer before it turns to rain, just disappointing how it does look like it's going to be washed away by Friday morning.

February 6

Still looks okay for some heavy snow briefly on the leading edge but the UKMO has definitely backtracked a bit this morning with how quickly the 0c 850 line moves Northwards. I think elevation will also be key in this. The North Midlands will fare better as well and have snow for longer. I think the reason i'm not that excited by this is that it's going to turn to heavy rain later on Thursday into Friday and wash away any snow we may have. I just can't get excited over sleet/snow to rain events, but I guess I can't be picky after such a rubbish Winter and have to take it at this stage

February 5

Don The thing that's worried me about this is that the GFS has remained bullish and not backed down to be in line with the UKMO output. I have seen it many times where the UKMO went for a snowier battleground scenario while the GFS showed rain and the GFS ended up being correct. That's not to say that the GFS is always right, but I fear it will be this time.

February 5

Don I think that saying "Can they do it on a cold, rainy night in Stoke" Needs to be changed to a "Cold, snowy night in Stoke" Place to be these days for snow!

February 5

MKN Yep! looks like game over for us if that ends up being accurate. Stoke may still be good for snow, but Leicester, Coventry, Birmingham, sleet to rain. Will be interesting to see what the 0z UKMO comes up with. If it sticks to its guns, then I honestly don't know which way it'll go

February 5

Metwatch The Icon is falling in line with the GFS. I would be very surprised if the UKMO didn't start back tracking towards what the GFS and Icon were showing in the next 24 hours.

February 5

Just checked on Metcheck for Leicester on Thursday. A snow to rain event with highs of 10c! No thanks

February 5

MattStoke I'll bank that COSMO run!!!

MattStoke It has shifted a bit but it still has the low steaming in and going to the North of us, dragging in mild air the UKMO is much better.

February 5

I don't think i've ever seen such a big difference between the UKMO and GFS at such a short timeframe. UKMO goes for the low pressure sliding away to the East, GFS goes for it to move North of Scotland If the GFS is correct, our snow chances are screwed. I Hope the GFS is wrong but it's been pretty bullish about this

February 5

MattStoke I hope that is the case, but i'm not buying it.

This seems more likely. Northern areas are going to get a dumping.

February 5

And just a day later, the snow chance has pretty much gone for most of the Midlands The models look terrible now for the short to mid term. I can't see snow for anyone below 300m this week. Peak district may do well but lower levels, forget about it.

February 4

For entertainment purposes only 2 weeks time.

January 18

Terrible cold spell here in terms of snow. Saw a bit of sleet after a heavy rain shower at the weekend and had a brilliant frost last night that froze the water fountain in the city centre, but that's it. No cold Weather again for the foreseeable on the models. So Feb looks like the next chance, at the earliest. Then Spring is just around the corner

I find that we seem to have a better chance of snow here in March than any other month nowadays. Had a decent amount last March, after a relatively snowless Winter.

January 16

Nothing here this morning and I don't expect anything either. Glad you Stoke folk have managed to see something though

It's been a strange cold spell for us in Leicester. Promised so much around a week ago but has delivered so little. Best we've had is frost, but frost doesn't excite me

January 14

Had a heavy rain shower earlier, around 3pm, followed by a rain/snow graupel mix afterwards. It's a shame that the precip didn't reach here a few hours later, the cold air was digging in and it was a wintry mix, but if that had fallen now, it would have been snow. Such fine margins on this isle of ours

January 14

GFS 00z run moves the low further North. Most of the region still misses out but the far South may see a bit. Please nudge Northwards by 50 miles!

January 13

Oh, hello, what's this for tomorrow evening?! Might give us a few flurries in the East of the region. I'll take that at this stage

Just checked the UKV model as well and that has a few showers around for the West Midlands as well. Something to keep an eye on the radar for tomorrow.

January 13

41 minutes ago, Rich_T said:

Weather apps are still having none of the snow, despite the stories cropping up in my news feeds, such as this

"Weather maps show exact areas hit by two 'blizzards' next week as snow expected within days"

Weather maps show exact areas hit by two 'blizzards' next week as snow expected within days - Nottinghamshire Live

WWW.NOTTINGHAMPOST.COM

The Met Office has issued a yellow weather warning for snow and ice across parts of Scotland and northern England on Sunday, but it's next week's forecast that has people talking

Meanwhile outside its crisp, sunny all be it a little cool

I hate news articles like that. Get them all the time on Leicestershirelive. "MET OFFICE PREDICTS SNOW BOMB TO ARRIVE NEXT WEEK" and nothing happens

January 12

5 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Interesting. Some models do develop a trough through the Irish Sea. Trouble is, it also cuts off the shower risk and might die out before reaching our region.

The potential is there! I think with it still being 4-5 days away, there is still a lot of uncertainty, and that could work in our favour. A shift of 50-100 miles in either the trough or slider low could be good for us. I often find in these scenarios, things don't start to become clearer until 2-3 days away, so it's still all to play for.

Sign In

Forums

Blogs

Gallery

Events

Learn About Weather and Meteorology

Community guides

Posts posted by andy_leics22