SteveB
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Posts posted by SteveB
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I'm have a shocker here. The rain and associated storm has alm but fizzled out.
Yet 5-10miles East and 20mins ago it was biblical.
It must be something to do with being near the coast. I don't remember it being like this 10-20yrs ago though, something has changed but I don't know what!
1 minute ago, AWD said:I've had 12mm here, mostly from the shower and hour or so ago. Looking at the radar, there's every possibility of more to come locally too.
It's obviously no where near enough to make a dent into what's actually needed, but it's surprising how just a little rain can shoot flowers and vegetation back into life.
I've had 1.8mm here in Weston-super-Mare, but the storm up near Ashton in Bristol must gave delivered plenty more.
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28 minutes ago, AWD said:
I've literally just had this develop directly overhead in the last 10 minutes;
Now producing large raindrops. What's the bet as it moves of North it turns into a biblical storm?!
Under it at work in Ashton - no thunder of lightning. And the stuff further south has lost any electrical activity.
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Just now, AWD said:
A bit late in the day, but we have signs of a convergence line developing, heading towards parts of the West Country and South West Midlands;
It will fizzle out before it gets here.
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1 hour ago, Liam Burge said:
MetO has our area clearing up between 12pm and 2pm before some monster storms look like they develop and come right over our area!
Don't lose your hope yet.
I do hope you're right!
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1 hour ago, Ben Sainsbury said:
Yes exactly. However, if we see storms kick off they'll become rather widespread with frequent lightning in places hence the MDT zone that Dan has issued.
I just can't see storms developing here today.
Currently just cloudy with light rain.
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Not a chance in hell of storms developing here today - another bust to go with the many bust before it.
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41 minutes ago, AWD said:
I notice that the large thunderstorm over Devon currently is slowly moving E/NE up the M5, albeit weakening.
I'm under no illusions that once it reaches Weston Super Mud, the electrical element of it will dissipate and I will receive the dregs!
And sure enough, just a mass of heavy rain.
What's it going to take to get a decent thunderstorm around these parts
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I've been looking on the net for one, and for around £250 you can get a decent one which comes with the window kit.
We have literally done nothing, and getting the dog out for a walk is turning into going out either very late at night or very early in the morning. Sleep has been at a premium.
Must admit, cooler nights will be welcomed, but Don't want to wish away this weather, as it won't be long before the endless days of grey skies and wet and windy days take hold through autumn and winter.
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Today is probably going to be 7 straight days where the temperature has exceeded 30c
It's impossible to keep the house cool and the days have become nothing more than sitting doing nothing. I haven't had a hot meal other than a bbq as its pointless putting the oven on as it only makes the house even hotter.
Seriously considering buying a portable aircon unit for next year.
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43 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Gfs hot all the way through to the end of next week for england and wales!!and ukmo well that looks even hotter!!!!this really is quite something this year!!!imagine if the autumn/winter is just dry cold with plenty of harsh frosts
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Imagine if this winter turned out to be wetter and colder than average.
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18.2C and 80mm please.
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Is cloud not going to inhibit storm potential today? Very cloudy here at the moment!
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I guess it depends on how quickly the cold front moves through!
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32c here, other station near me are showing around 30 to 31c
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Feeling already very hot here. Currently showing 28.7c on my weather station.
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1 hour ago, Mike Poole said:
I think the evolution shown in the later stages of recent GFS runs, including the 0z today, is entirely plausible - which is not to say it will happen. The big high pressure moving in from the west is nailed on, then there seems a growing trend for this to increase its influence on the UK specifically, allowing home grown warmth and heat, and then some instability causes the high to split allowing a plume from the south to engage around the west flank of the portion of the high remaining to our east.
We saw earlier in June the effect of a brief plume after average conditions in the UK. This time, the heat would be in place, hottest time of year, high SSTs in place - I think records could be broken in the next few weeks. Just look at the uppers at T366 on the 0z:
I think that’s +22C over most of the south!
It's plausible just like the bitter artic freezes the models predict in winter. In reality, the models have picked up a signal for rise in temperatures in a 10 days time but it's likely this will be modified as we get nearer.
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29 minutes ago, clark3r said:
Insane heat again FI, the country would not be able to cope if that happened, 27 at night as a min, 35 degrees at 09.00 am then prob touching 40 degrees in the day, it’s deep in Fi, surely it won’t happen and if it is a trend It will be watered down by several degrees, but also to note there has been insane heat in the continent, also very dry weather, so has to be a higher than normal chance of extreme heat this summer.
Usually in these situations, there will be a warm spell but nothing like GFS is predicting, and the duration of the hot spell will shorten as well
2-3 days of high 20's low 30's is probably how it will pan out.
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17.2c & 56mm please.
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Wow what a wonderful day.........not
Been raining all day total so far is 25.2mm and still raining.
Maxed out at 13.3c, currently 12.1c
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27 minutes ago, Dangerous55019 said:
… And for the record…
Here is the revised storm warning from the UK Meto.
Much too far south for me today.
But good luck to all of the other members of this forum who are closer to this warning.
Ain't going to happen like its showing there. I'm slap bang in the middle of the warning like I've been so many times before. Nowt comes of it.
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As far as I'm concerned that's another bust. Heard some very very distant thunder and one or two faint flashes of lightning and 4.3mm of rain.
Now left with overcast laden skies.
The weather for my neck of the woods keeps on bringing one disappointment after another.
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It's been so long since we've had a decent storm here, I can't help but think negatively.
Here's hoping
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12 minutes ago, MP-R said:
At least the cells are moving in the right direction this time! Not like the pseudo plumes that take them NEwards!
Cells not far away now.
I've seen this setup before and it all looked so promising until it got nearer to the Bristol channel, then it dispersed into nothing more than heavy rain.
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A complete mess then!
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Hi MIA,
Must be near the time of year, to start up your Artic sea ice reports?