Zerouali lives

I'm heading to Tynecastle, Edinburgh for the football semi final on Saturday afternoon - a bit concerned about the strength of the wind....coming down from Aberdeen I'd say the Tay and Forth Bridges may be closed or even the game postponed or abandoned! Any thoughts?

Am I right in assuming we have prime conditions for heavy snowfalls? Mild winter so far -> relatively warm North Sea SST's -> bitter cold over the Northern continent and therefore a large temperature contrast as the east winds blows over the Sea giving heavy snowfall - like the lake effect snow circumstances? Cheers

Just looking at the chart archive, white Christmas' didn't seem all the that common between 1992 and 1971...possibly longer. Maybe 1972, 76, 78, 81 looking like possible candidates with the 80's in particular seemingly quite mild on the 25th. I remember my parents telling me about one New Years Eve when they entered a party many years ago with no snow and when they left several hours later, there was deep snow - I'm thinking this would've probably been 1978/79.

Christmas 95 will be unforgettable for me - I remember an abrupt and quite violent change of wind direction on Christmas Eve around 10pm as the light SW'ly breeze became a Northerly gale - woke up to a whiteout and remember all north facing walls and buildings were just plastered white! Heavy, prolonged snow showers continued throughout the Christmas day but I think the wind must've dropped somewhat compared to the night before. More heavy and prolonged snow showers (or maybe just 1 shower) continued into Boxing day but became less frequent with time but by the time they died out on the 27th, a reasonable depth had accumulated which also included a few inches from the cold front on the 23rd I think it was.

Does anyone remember this snow event in Eastern Scotland? It was a Saturday, cold, clear and frosty with temperatures well below freezing into mid evening. I remember looking at the rainfall radar and seeing a huge area of precipitation moving in off the North Sea from the SE and knew this had to fall as snow once it reached landfall, and indeed it did. I'm not sure of snow totals but I remember leaving my house (only 33m) and feet burying in the almost powdery snow with the snow still falling - a real whiteout!

With the charts hinting at a Northerly for later next week, March 2006 illustrated that winter still has plenty snow potential even at this time of year. The cold actually arrived during the last days of February and persisted for the first week of March. An epic snow event here in Aberdeen that produced around a foot of snow; even in modest low lying areas around the city centre. Heavy, prolonged snow showers were the order of the day. A strong High over Greenland (1055mB) ridging south kept the block intact

To be honest, that streamer has been straddling around or just south of Aberdeen since midday today! It hasn't lost any of it's oomph and gave us another another heavy fall around 7pm. Cults to Kingswells road had very heavy snowfall around 5.30pm - huge drifts on the corner of the Kingswells roundabout on the SE'ly aspect due to blowing snow from the fields.

Never realised the dew point was that low, gives us a chance of a cover by morning I suppose...but it's still doubtful

It is frustrating. The thing is, any precipitation will be light and not settle, not in the city centre anyway.

Well it is snow that's falling in Aberdeen, not rain/sleet as predicted (unless that's down at the beach) but it's mainly light and sporadic. We need a spell of continous, heavier snow for any potential accumulation to develop - even then it might be too warm. 4 or 5 miles inland near Kingswells (140m asl), drifts were starting to build due to blowing snow off the fields today - I expect to see deep drifis here by tomorrow morning...

Now snowing flakes in Aberdeen which is hopefully a start away from the wet graupel rubbish

Judging by the radar, somewhere like Kirriemuir or Blairgowrie looks to have been the perfect location if these places were cold enough. Certainly the top of the Glen Clova road should have deep snow.

Yup exactly - just as my signature says!

Occasional graupel showers in Aberdeen which blow through within minutes. Soons melts and the ground is very wet. Raw wind but not an icy one - we're too close to the North Sea to get proper cold. Annoying how the met rainfall radar is taking so long to update!

Weather-history - do you have stats from Aberdeen for this cold snap? Snow totals etc. We tend to do quite poorly in a setup like this with the wind sweeping off the relatively warm North Sea, another reason why I'm not sure if we'll get snow this Friday, maybe rain/sleet. Thanks

Classic fohn effect situation later this week that could produce record temperatures for the Aberdeen area, maybe 16C with any cloud breaks.

I'd hold with that bet - in my experience, easterly feeds have often brought rain/sleet/graupal for Aberdeen. The less wind there is the better chance of snow in Aberdeen.

Met office indicating sleet at Loch Glascarnoch (280m) at 9am this morning

Remember this month fairly well since it was kind of contrasting to August when on the 21st or 24th Aberdeen broke it's all time temperature record of nearly 31°C which was a day of hazy sunshine. The September was incredibly wet, perhaps the wettest in NE Scotland since records began. I think there was much flooding since the ground was so hard after a hot, dry summer that all the water couldn't seap into the soil and just lay on top.

Weather-history - do you have any forecasts from the incredible cold snap of October 3rd 1994? I clearly remember blizzard conditions in Aberdeen city centre which was amazing to see so early in the year even though no snow settled

I believe December was very mild too. 1994 was a remarkable year for snow patch survival in the Highlands with unusually huge totals by the end of October. Usually lasting snows arrive by mid October but many of them suffered during Nov and Dec mild spell which made it a unique year

Rain in Aberdeen but snow just a few miles west in Westhill, not lying yet though

Too much goddamn cloud - if we're getting 16.4 with cloud, you'd have to think 18 would be possible if the sun breaks through but it's not looking good...

Yeah if it's still 16 under this bank of cloud, I can see us getting very close to the all time Scottish record for February which also Aberdeen in 1897, 17.9 if it break to allow some sun You're right, feels so comfortable and mild outside just now

Yeah even at 5 miles inland at 100m elevation the showers that passed through at 5pm were rain / graupel that just left the ground wet. Temperatures in Aberdeen between 2.5 and 4.0 and that just won't do it, even with low dew points. North Sea warmth is killing us