doctor32

Tuesdays front that develops around irish sea will push across the region and tonight models suggest we may see a more notable spell of snow across the region (still very uncertain mind) Thursday into friday may see a front stall and weaken across the NE, so this is our biggest chance of significant snowfall. Some very cold nights too.

Cold

My thoughts: But first, today is getting very windy and it certainly feels cold in the wind. As the low in N Sea moves south the winds are veering more NNE which is pushing the band of showers inland more and this will give sleet/snow in places this afternoon. Keep getting little flurries here in aycliffe at only 90m asl. Tuesday night has greatest risk of snow to the south of our region with a couple of hours of snow from an occluded front associated with low to the south. Thursday is our best chance of widespread and lying snow, but this may turn to rain if low pushes milder air further north. Inbetween these some wintry showers could pop up with cold nights.

Just had a sleety shower here, seen a few flakes blowing in the wind.

Awaiting to see what falls out the sky lower down here today. A very much nowcast situation with probably Thursday our best chance as it stands

One word... THURSDAY

A very mild day today with 11-13.c widely and certainly feels it after recent cold spell... Wont last long as you all know.

I will do an update over the weekend for next week, very topsy turvy the out-put at the moment. And to be fair, pinpointing the low pressures for next week will be very hard, making snow predictions impossible a couple of days out with very fine margins between rain/snow etc

Hopefully Feb will deliver. Time will tell

Analyzing every det model run is hard work... Stick to ensembles and take all models at set time frame in to account for a bigger picture

You really need to spend less time in there mate, i rarely go in as emotions and imby-ism to high. Great uncertainty regarding next week, huge spread in ensembles around 24th onwards. A trend to a more westerly as high collapses is plausable but still a smaller cluster compared to other options ie cold.

Air still cold enough for snow this morning, just had a little snow flurry

same here, tough ask i think... see how next week pans out me thinks.

Thanks, Snow detail very uncertain to be honest, we could get a SE, E or NE depending on placement of high etc. Main thing is for the trend to colder conditions... let the ride begin. Still light snow flurries here

Models are really ramping up on the potential Easterly and snow risk to end next week... few more runs needed.

very light snow flakes falling here Aycliffe the past 10 minutes... you have to really strain to see them though lol

Just a quick update... Tonight rain/sleet/snow showers in the early hours followed by much colder air which leads us into a cold thursday with sleet/snow showers becoming more evident towards the east. Slight coverings for hilly areas esp NY Moors. Friday night into saturday will see a weakening band of sleet/snow stall across the region. Next week, esp Tuesday could have a real snow risk (one to watch) After that i am leaning towards what models are showing this evening and met still firm on things turning much colder into Feb

Yes finally some colder weather on the way this week but may have to wait till next week for any meaningful snow. Some Wintry showers midweek to get your juices going

They are indeed, not long now. Not expecting a BFTE just yet. Some wintry weather later next week and esp W/C 21st. Tick Tock....

Just rain for me too.

Anyone getting snow from these showers, especially inland on higher ground?

A few wintry showers if we lucky. Yes this cloud been rather disappointing. Looking back end of W/C 14th for a few snow chances behind low pressure systems most likely which will hopefully give way to a more blocked pattern that is favourable for some proper cold

I really think this has been the quietest this thread has been over a winter period since i joined, just shows how slow and boring the weather has been on the ground so far this season. Are all the usual suspects from the NE still around???

3.3c and 30mm Will try and do a full 12 months this year, always forget a few lol

Another very mild day but once again rather bright with hazy sunshine all day here. Much colder mid next week. Not long to wait to see where we go with the SSW. As long as the high pressure sits around for the next week or so i can see it shifting favourably to allow the cold to dig in.