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Everything posted by seaside 60
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Model Output Discussion - 3rd May Onwards 00z--->
seaside 60 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Seeing as we have had the Azores high in its place all winter pretty much. Is this something that could persist for a long while yet. Often said by many forecasters that a strong azores high gives us our good summers and if missing early spring its often looked for for signs of summer. Personally I prefer the Scandi summer high. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring 5th March Onwards 6z--->
seaside 60 replied to Frosty.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I see we have the same pie in the sky forecasts being produced. Yesterday being a prime example. Frosty gave run down of the 00hrs and showed a chart for 10th may, large heap of pretty pink snow based mainly over north east and rain else where. Then on the 12 hrs he showed some lovely temps charts with temps topping 22c over south/south east, oh and the snow fields had now 18c. With huge numbers in the winter on here that would have been mayhem, however it just goes to show the models just dont produce eye candy in the heart of dec to feb....... -
Model Output Discussion - Spring 5th March Onwards 6z--->
seaside 60 replied to Frosty.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks. I am not saying it wont feel cold up north, but I also dont think many realise how cold it has been down here in the south east and east. One question I would like to ask the experts. It seems to me that this winter, there has been a larger than normal tendency for models to produce outcomes that always get watered down nearer the time, not the famous easterly here today gone tomorrow. More especially the cold blasts from the northern latitudes which just never really make it, is there a particular reason for this and will it continue. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring 5th March Onwards 6z--->
seaside 60 replied to Frosty.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What the models show for this part of the world, is today tomorrow the warmest days. Sunday onwards will still be warmer than the last week. I realise this is not true for most central south west and northern uk. However I must speak up for the east and south east dwellers. It will be warmer than last week. Apart from the northern part of the UK, I think its another case of over the top models like all winter. PLease note I am not saying it wont be feeling cool up north, however I think we need to really back down from literally reading every run as taken and look more overall. I feel that I need to get the duvets out for my plants and stick the heating on at 30c reading here for the last few days. Sorry not meant as a swipe, however I do think more overall model reading is needed. Thank you. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring 5th March Onwards 6z--->
seaside 60 replied to Frosty.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I have to say that I know you guys are only reporting on what the models churn out. However but surely this type of scenario has been progged so many times and every time its no where near as bad/cold by the time it gets here. Also for the south east and east coast dwellers it may not be any colder after the last few days of fresh easterlies, I know today/tomorrow much warmer here but its been dam perishing. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring 5th March Onwards 6z--->
seaside 60 replied to Frosty.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Forcasts say for the south east staying at 12c from thursday to sunday. Not sure where the 18-20c comes from. It will feel like winter again down here if there is little sun. Sorry that should also include FRostys quote. -
The Alps Snow Thread - Season 2014/2015
seaside 60 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
St Christoph looks like its mid winter not spring there, real picture postcard stuff. Been to St Anton well late in the season, ski in the morning early lunch, also the real mans skiing shirt off and sking, just dont fall over lol... -
Model Output Discussion - Spring 5th March Onwards 6z--->
seaside 60 replied to Frosty.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Last night Cloud 10 stated that it was phase 8 going into phase 1. Is this because the models have changed or different peoples interpretations. A genuine question as the MJO has been quoted so much this year.