BarometerCat

oh deep festive joy of a Yellow weather warning for Rain. Today and tomorrow. Looking wet out already. No idea of temps, not going out there if I can help it today. And now a warning for wind 26/27th Lovely

GFS 6z out to 210, where I tend to leave it, is not showing any mild! That's the headline for me. Looks like another cold run. Much better overall trend this year.

Some wintry interest at +114 (Monday) will be more firmed up nearer the time with the wheres and what heights and if at alls etc.. Radar and lamposts by then with usual Caveats.. Absolutely no promises at this stage. (Might just rain a bit) Up until then some inevitable festive rain today, particularly over the Midlands then a frosty start to the Christmas period on Christmas eve. Boxing day, unsettled and not as cold briefly. (boring) Still happy with the output, loads better than a lot of recent years and at least something to keep interest up!

Bright start to the day and just over 24 hours to go before a change to something colder (and hopefully drier). Frosty Christmas eve and early Christmas day then does not really go mild again for a while. Looking good! This will beat getting up to +8c and rain

One trend standing out on the 6z GFS run so far, it is not mild. Pretty much colder weather after +24. As many have said, this is nothing like where we were last two winters at the very least! Devil is in the detail as always and closer to the time. Looking forward to the next few runs....

As per the thread title...the run up to Christmas still looking good to turn colder after yet more rain tomorrow etc.. Chance of frost on Christmas day itself and somewhere in the UK still up for a surprise bit of snow Christmas eve or the day itself (East Anglia??).. Cannot complain right now and is a better place than previous years. Might feel a little more seasonal

Closer to now, what about 23rd on wards over Christmas? Not super cold but maybe could feel a bit more seasonal with the odd chance of snow in places? Being glass half full, this is a lot better than most recent years.

At just +96 GFS suggests there could be chance of a bit of snow somewhere in UK? would be nice that’s all

I would not worry about it! There is colder signals next week, It’s no way set in stone but is looking promising! Whatever the outcome there is something to follow as we hopefully get closer ( and not just at day 10)

Whatever! it wasn’t me knocking anyone. Just read some of those posts I reacted to, unfair on people contributing to a weather forum getting exciting by ( checks notes...) weather! I thought that was odd? Moans thread, yes? We are all entitled to a view.

Sorry! Yeah ok I didn’t mean right now I mean next week. As were being predicted by some. Surely some agreement next week will be cold?

Sorry, the mod thread IS a roller coaster. You get a mix of great posts and some filler but so what? It’s much busier this time of year and when decent cold Synoptics are showing. The busier the better. Also remember some people have different needs and expectations, maybe we should give people a break from criticism this year? Roll on ECM later, let’s hope the trend remains and chaos reigns? oh, and where are those mild SWly winds?

Got to ask, why are you here? People are following their interests and if that is hunting snow or cold Synoptics then so be it. Even if it never happens. ?? This is/was a friendly inclusive forum....

A wee bit of a change on the Meto outlook, even into January. Plenty to be positive about! less mild, expected to be colder into Jan (did I read that right)

They're not...take another peek at the todays GFS 6Z... Still not into a reliable timeframe so usual caveats and pinches of salt.

MInor ramp, it's trending colder on 6z ensembles. It has been a consistent signal? Below is IMBY. Happy. Whilst not super cold, it is a lot better a lot of recent winters. Here's hoping this trend continues. I'm not going to call a Snowy nirvana, but after this year its nice to actually hope and have a bit of laugh ramping up. its better not to take this too seriously...

Silly chart of the day - here is my submission. rank out of 10?

Interesting GFS 12z at +252. That low is not shifting much in following frames!

6c but at least some sun. Ground still soaked out. Hoping next week cools off, maybe some frost over the Xmas period. No more rain please? Snow would be an absolute peach.. Still watching the development but trying to keep up with the mod thread is tough going

" Let put some happy little -10 uppers over here..." The ECM 0z needs more work..

Interesting GFS ensembles...for the less than Knowledgeable like me this shows in a nice graphic form the spread of options (and uncertainty) after only 21st. Loads of great posts pointing this out and why. The operational line represents the rollercoaster of emotions over the next few days..

Gfs Ensembles all over the time place past 26th, really unsure looking beyond the reliable period is going to give away much. Not going to lose the plot over anything at this stage

It’s exciting because if it just happened to verify close to that we would see a colder Boxing Day etc... at this range it is still about trends. It’s very positive for a change! The evolution is interesting.

It’s just one run thankfully and still some way out. How will that low evolve to the NE...

Pure silliness, right out at +246 and is not going to happen but imagine If it did?