LiverBird
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Posts posted by LiverBird
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jpwild, Fred the Weather (shudder!) is showing some lovely photos of the snow in Buxton on Granada News. Lucky you, it's raining here!
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Backtrack, we're having another really heavy hail shower again here at the moment. The sky is really black but we can see the edge of it with the sun behind. It's heading your way I reckon.
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We're having a small hail shower at the moment after a morning of sun, rain, hail and rainbows!
Temp at airport currently 6 degrees with light rain showers forecast.
Not much to look forward to today, snow wise.
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Hello all, nice to see the thread back!
According to the Countryfile weather forecast for tonight, the snow showers are coming right over south Liverpool tonight so maybe, Backtrack you need to come this side of the Bridge!
I know it won't settle but it will be nice to see it falling and put us in the Christmas mood! :smilz38:
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I've been having a look at the Scotland thread and notice this post from Lomond Snowstorm:
NAE suggests Ayrshire in the firing line tomorrow night http://expertcharts....120506_0312.gif and Merseyside into Monday rush hour too - who'da thunk it?
Any other opinions on that chart? I know it looks promising but is it snow for me or just sleet?
Really pleased for you guys in Cumbria. Enjoy!
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I'm here too but I've just been lurking, waiting for the winter regional thread. I think I've been spoiled the last two years for snow so I'n not expecting to be lucky a third time... unless someone here can tell me otherwise!
Is Backtrack about? He ALWAYS promises snow!
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After a sunny late afternoon the sky has gone dark and it's started bucketing down, with some hail and strong gusts thrown in for good measure.
Guess who has to go outside in 15 minutes having not brought their coat with them. Joy of joys.
At half 4 this afternoon we were walking along the shore in Hale with our coats off in the sun!!! Now we've just got drizzle after the same downpour as you! I love contrary days.....
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Not a big snow fan anymore, caused my first car crash today.
Hope you are okay Extreme!
I'm glad for those of you in Cumbria and Yorkshire who've finally got some snow. Guess I'm just being greedy!
We've nearly reached the point I promised Backtrack I'd report in at - 3 inches...............
..............3 inches of flood waters!!!! Sleet, sleet, sleet!!
I'm not going to look at any charts for a few days. I won't be watching the forecasts which at the moment are leaning towards the white stuff for us. And I will NOT get excited the next time the so called 'snow' is 'definitely' on it's way.....
Goodnight all!
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Well the radars are showing quite intense precipitation over Warrington now but is certainly only light snow at the moment - I'm not convinced that it isn't even a bit sleety to be honest.
It's Factor 0 here ATM.......
:winky:
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No. Take no notice of the GFS snow risk charts, they are very un-reliable.
The easiest thing to do, is to look at the min/max temps, upper temps, pressure, and where the precip is to forecast snow, although this is a basic way, and not the most accurate, in an event like this, it's your best bet.
Thanks. I'm learning a lot this winter!
I'll report back later when we get to 3 inches........
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Snowing in Val d'Isere. Hope we get the same here!
http://www.valdisere.com/gb/pictoflash/webcam/popup/webcam2.php
Snowing in south Liverpool for about an hour and starting to settle. Medium sized flakes but many of them!
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Well the charts say 3-4 inches.
Good enough for me?
Backtrack - the GFS shows yellow and green over us, but I always look for red for snow. What do I need to look for in future? Do I need to compare with other charts?
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Yes, you'll get some snow, it may settle for a while but it isn't going to be very deep and isn't going to last long into tomorrow.
Interitus, where are you? Is it snowing there too?
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After a pathetic light spell for 30 mins or so, it's finally moving into the moderate category.
Starting to lay.
Let's introduce the category snow;
FACTOR 1 - Light snow
FACTOR 2 - light snow, starting to settle
FACTOR 3 - moderate snow, dusting
FACTOR 4 - moderate blowing snow with large flakes - settling readily
FACTOR 5 - Heavy snow, large flakes, accumlated.
FACTOR 6 - Blizzard like conditions, 5cms or more on the ground.
PLEASE USE THIS!
FACTOR 3!!!
Has been snowing lightly here in south Liverpool for about an hour and is getting heavier now, showing signs of sticking!
I was expecting sleet and rain so I'm made up! Is it really going to carry on until 6 am tomorrow.....?
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Only problem is the snow will be gone within a day
It's a shame when it goes that quickly. I do love seeing it fall though so it will be nice to see it throughout the day.
Fingers crossed for a nice fall for all of us in one go!
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lovely pile here in m21 this morning, rapid thaw though, so little left by the time the rain began at lunchtime. I looked at the NW forecast which suggests little more than sleet for this week, any ideas on that?
Thanks for the lovely photos! I'm really pleased for those of you who are having your best snowfall of the winter - we were so lucky in January so it's your turn now!
The snow here has gone but it did look good this morning and caught quite a few people out. Looking at the last GFS we only have a low chance of more snow before Wednesday.
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What a dissapintment again! Got about a centimetre and a half and its melting fast due to the bloody sun !
Same here! Woke up to a nice covering of about 2.5/3 cm which melted whle I was in Church!!! There's patches in the shady parts but it's going fast. Sky is grey and looks like rain....
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Where is all the spirit tonight!! There is snow on the way and not a NW'ener in sight!!!
I'm here but I'm desperately trying not to get too excited about this! Pity Backtrack isn't online - he gets very excited at a whiff of snow!!! I am still hoping the snow is heading my way tonight but until it arrives.....
I'm still not convinced I'm going to get anything significant, not that I'm an expert or anything, but I do know that things seem to change from hour to hour and I think I'm safer nowcasting! Can't promise I'll be popping in at 3 am to report any snow fall though!!!
Made up to hear Cumbria is getting snow and hope it continues!
There is little doubt in my mind that most places in the region will get a cover snow early tomorrow morning, except, perhaps for the extreme coastal fringes. Even if the conditions aren't perfect, evaporative cooling will feature no doubt.
Also once it hits the Welsh mountains is will slow somewhat so I suggest those in the west of the region could have a fair bit, perhaps up to 5-6cm.
I'd say 3-4cm elsewhere with a rapid thaw tomorrow.
Ah Stephen, just what I wanted to hear! I look forward to seeing my snow cover in the morning! And I'm not even considering the rapid thaw.......
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light snow falling now
We've had a mainly sunny day here with beautiful blue skies. It is cooling off now and I've still got my fingers crossed for some snow tonight although after reading the Model Ouput thread, I'm more confused than ever.....
Glad to hear some of you have got/are getting some snow already and fingers crossed for the rest of us!
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Surprised ther eisn't more talk about next week in this thread, the 06z model has shifted the threat a little further north which certainly brings the NW very much into play, the 06z GFS would probably give some places upwards to a foot of snow if taken at face value...
Still time for shifts southwards but I'd be more interested today, esp for those close to the Manchester region...
Tomorrow early hours could be interesting for you guys as well...
So plenty to look out for in the NW, the southern parts are almost prime time!
I'm trying not to get excited AGAIN as we've had a few disappointments lately and it seems that it has been too difficult to forecast for certain when the snow is coming.
However, I've just seen the forecast on BBC News which actually has snow over South Liverpool overnight tonight.... they don't normally do that unless they're certain and I see you've mentioned it too!
So next week - where, when, how much???? :lol:
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we had a breif heavy snow shower, but its near all melted now
It was nice tho and very wintry for a small time My sister in law rang from the middle of Chester this afternoon and said they were having snow showers with huge flakes but nothing was sticking. We've only had rain here. :-(
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Again the 18z brings Thurs snow to the south of the region,followed by more snow/showers into the weekend
TBH i have lost total confidence in this model as it has performed very poorly this winter,i find it a good model for
picking up trends but as for PPN it is totally pants
anyway back to the here and now light sleet and thats about it,GFS says i should have moderate snow....nuf said LOL
C.S
It's raining here in south Liverpool - and snowing at the same time. It's not sleet though. It's raining rain with the odd big snow flake in..... really weird.....
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Yeah i knew it was going to die out, but didn't expect it to die out completley just as it hit me. BBC even has snow progged for here around 6pm.. Maybe they will be right?
Back from our walk completely dry! Can't take all this excitement followed by nothing - I'm off to lie down in a darkened room for a while....... :lol:
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Oh boy! The Welsh mountains are killing the Western side of the band off. It may be very short lived if it reaches here.
NNNOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!
What are you watching Backtrack? GFS? Rain Today?
It was nice tho and very wintry for a small time 
North West England Regional Discussion Thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
I know I'm 18 pages late but thanks OON for bringing the NW thread back. It's nice to see so many familiar names.
Just come in from work after a morning of sunshine and darkness and many hail showers. Going out with the dogs now and it's trying to hail again. Surely all this augers well for some snow....?