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Everything posted by MattTarrant
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That is an 0z chart but yes it would, what I like from the 6z development is that the Azores high is displaced out into the Atlantic allowing low heights to remain across Southern Europe. It would be even better if the high could just ridge a little up towards Greenland. Jet Stream backs the continuation of the feed of low heights into Southern Europe
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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->
MattTarrant replied to A.J's topic in Regional
We have some lying snow here, mostly on cars & patchy on grass. 2.5 degrees. -
South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->
MattTarrant replied to A.J's topic in Regional
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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->
MattTarrant replied to A.J's topic in Regional
A link here to Haytor weather station here! Temperature there is dropping rapidly! 1.5 degrees. (450 metre altitude). http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Haytor/automatic/Current_Vantage_Pro.htm -
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I just went in there, now i believe we are a week from a heatwave
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Very true, though if you consider the Met Office Yellow warning of snow that stretches into the South West suggests that 2-5 cm of snow could fall even at lower levels. The above charts suggest otherwise, i would go with the Met office(UKMO). Plus the GFS has a more North Westerly component to it which hinders snow potential in the south west, UKMO more Northerly.
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Just thought i would post this as its a very good tool. The new Metcheck Super Ensemble. The attached chart is for my home town of Tiverton (61m). Some good agreement now with only three runs from the 60 runs showing positive 850mb temps. I would approximately say that 60/70% show around the -4/-5 mark with around 7 or so showing -9/-10
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The Rivers around here are getting seriously high, just about to exceed Sunday Morning's heights. The River Exe was getting relatively close to the underside of one of the 'tall' bridges.
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
MattTarrant replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yes these storms are quite small but wow they kicking out the lightning strikes at the moment!! #Saints4ever- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
MattTarrant replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Maybe some fell of that boat caught near Aberdeen!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
MattTarrant replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
There was some decent convection which led to elevated rain but its like it just couldn't tap into the energy! Air seems fairly clear with a few breaks developing now!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
MattTarrant replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Brightning up nicely here with temperatures rising steadily! A few rumbles would be nice later this afternoon!!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
MattTarrant replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I am keeping an eye on the sky haha, though I would never judge what is going to happen with the weather on the BBC precipitation graphics, on there latest video the precipitation has pushed further west and is likely to affect most of Devon. Here's hoping!!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
MattTarrant replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Even a small thunderstorm would go down a treat here! It does look like I am on the western fringe of activity but i'm staying positive!!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
MattTarrant replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Excellent weather here this morning, supplying plenty of surface heating with temperatures already rising nicely!! Could do with a few thunderstorms as have missed the majority of them this year. Wind convergence looks most likely to help storms here because CAPE is relatively low, wind is almost non existent so storms could cause some local flash flooding.- 2,726 replies
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