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Everything posted by northwestsnow
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
GFS is my idea of heaven lol.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
GFS looks lovely!! Only issue is UKMO looks a bit flatter to me at 144.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hmmmmmm, perhaps a small shift towards something more amplified this evening!! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
GFS looks a bit more amplified than its 6z run at 156hrs.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Wetterzentrale is getting a bit annoying now- its constantly 'getting stuck' mid runs!! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ICON looks a tad more amplified later on its run, compared to its 00z run. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Majority keep the UK cold, likely a block encompassing UK/Scandy/Benelux.. click on the link and we can actually see the change from previously- more colder members.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
TBH anything beats the utter dross my locale is currently suffering. Its another disgusting day here! Lot depends on how much cloud is trapped under any high- but dry will do for now!! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Milder 850s but under a high they become less important- even the 'milder' members will likely be not so mild at all. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Not keen on those if im honest. Will qualify that by saying 850s will not be a great guide under a high. -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
An intriguing question for sure.. What is abundantly clear is the PV is under attack!- 3,859 replies
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Heights being sucked into the Atlantic as mused earlier -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Agreed, although their updates have been fluid recently , only two days ago they were signalling a wet mild wet and windy December, yesterday they put the brakes on that in response to the NWP.. I know were my money is, and it isn't a mild wet and windy Dec! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Blue you really should be a politician!! Joking aside its the prudent approach, personally i feel there is lots of scope for wintry weather post this coming week. I think we will see a better EC det this evening, temps dropping away by next weekend.. Exeters musings again will be interesting reading and i don't think they will deviate from a cold high mid term.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looking at the EC mean again there is a big neg pressure anomaly over Europe by day 10, this will assist the high not sinking -i wouldn't be suprised if we see heights being sucked back into the Atlantic and a big northerly just in time for christmas.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
UKMO looks the pick of the 3 at 144, ever so slightly less progressive with that low between 120-144.. Its fascinating model watching for sure, key time frame now 120-144, obviously the further north the azores ridge can get the better. edit And i'm still of the opinion things look good for at the very least a cold high by next weekend. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Models seem to be putting more and more energy into the jet stream this morning. Still confident of the UK turning dryer and colder as we move through next weekend,which as i look out of the window to more wind and rain suits me fine. Lets see how the next few days evolve.. EC mean at day 10 is blocked.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nice 18z with a cold frosty run up to christmas.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes the mean suggests at the very least we will be under the influence of a cold high by next weekend.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
EC does indeed show night temps sub zero later on .. That would be proper festive weather. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes its a lovely run... Look forward to a temprature watch by day 9/10. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes EC would be dry and cold 168 onwards.. If nights clear we will get to see the benefit of short days, temps will plumet in December . Confidence increasing slowly that a cold high is coming, then the potential for something even colder from the east? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
But it ends pretty well.. The Atlantic hits the buffers- some very cold air into Europe, and cold frosty weather for the UK. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
GFS putting more energy in the southern arm though//