Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Faronstream

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    254

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Faronstream

  1. Faronstream
    As always the high pressure finally moves up to northern europé in September instead of middle of july when we can get severe heat spells, i'm not complaining but i still don't understand why this pattern repeats itself for several years now
  2. Faronstream
    Another downgrade on latest ECM 0Z compared to yesterday's 12Z which was way more anticyclone
  3. Faronstream
    The ECM 12Z control run is worse than 00Z last night, the ensemble mean does normally not show if there are any significant changes in the coming runs so we have to hope that today's 12Z run is just a coincidence
  4. Faronstream
    The azores high is stronger in the latest runs especially from ECM, right now it is the only thing that can save July from being a mediocre month
  5. Faronstream
    Horrific and provocating charts from both GFS and ECM 0Z, winter is definently over for this season with charts like these. As long as the mid latitude blocking continues we can never get the cold and snow down to our latitudes. We have to get a extremely cold march like 2013 if you want snow cover for more than a few days
  6. Faronstream
    I think it still looks fantastic next week for most parts of especially northern and central europé, UK not so good only chilly conditions. Right now GFS and ECM does not agree on wether the center of the high pressure over scandinavia will be, GFS is the better option beacuse on ECM it looks like it's too much to the east of Scandinavia. This might be the last chance for any longer period of cold and snow this winter, just hope charts like these continues to show coming days
  7. Faronstream
    What? I said " the only hope i can see now" so i am very uncertain about the high pressure over north atlantic at 240hours, what i mean is that the situation feels more or less hopeless
  8. Faronstream
    The cold winners for mid next week is clearly the central and eastern parts of europe, in scandinavia and western europé there are very lame temperatures and somewhat mild for the season . We have to wait at least 1 1/2 week before we can get any decent cold with snow, the only hope now that i can see is from the ECM in FI
  9. Faronstream
    ECM 0Z this night continues to show the trend of a more mid latitude blocking than high latitude blocking for the mid parts of next week, if the centre of the high pressure would just move slightly up to the western parts of russia/Finland the easterlies would be stronger and much lower 850hpa, looks like we fell on the finish line again..
  10. Faronstream
    ECM is not looking too shabby in the middle range at 168hours with -5 in 850hpa so on the slightly colder side, i won't look or think of the GFS for months beacuse of the disappointment last week. NAO value is trending positive for the coming 10 days and AO suprisingly negative
  11. Faronstream
    Another fantastic run from the GFS ( 06Z). Right now both ECM and GFS agrees on very cold upper air from the north( especially here) for 5th to 7th January with high pressure expanding in over Scandinavia for at least some couple of days
  12. Faronstream
    Right now it is safe to say that this christmas will be a very mild one, not extreme but still really sad outcome we had this year, now we can just look forward until the last days of the year and hope that around new year will be frosty and some snow Still high pressure over south europé and the typical +NAO pattern in the GFS ensembles for 29th December, if this chart will become reality there will be even low possibility of snow in high latitude areas in all parts of europe
  13. Faronstream
    Horrible charts from both GFS and EWCMF, strenghtening PV and mild upper air temperatures will give us another green christmas, at least the rain could wait until the 26-27th december
  14. Faronstream
    GFS 06Z on christmas eve looks not that good, we have seen worse in 2007,2013 and 2015 but still too mild and risk of heavy rain. On this chart i will show the small changes we need to see if we want snow around christmas
  15. Faronstream
    Too bad that the 850 hpa temperatures are relatively mild and no snow the last days before christmas. But i take this rather than mild and wet
  16. Faronstream
    A relatively dry signal this morning for most parts of western europe and this map is for precipiation around 20th to 27th december, probably indicates an oblong and broadly high pressure with the center around western Germany with straight southern winds. I'd rather take dry and mild than wet and mild if we can't get the cold this year
  17. Faronstream
    The AO value the coming 10 days is still very doubtful but 60% of them wants it to get even more positive and 40% on the colder side, still no real signs of any real cold or powerful high pressure around my area or the north Atlantic. Something tells me this will be the 4th green christmas in a row
  18. Faronstream
    This mornings GFS 06Z is very mild, must be a outliner beacuse i thought the colder period after mid month was already almost 80% accurate now and last days i have seen almost only cold runs and only a few runs has been very mild. It can still change back to colder conditions since 06Z is always the mildes of the day
  19. Faronstream
    Looks pretty good in 06Z GFS for coldies, if just the center of the high pressure would be like 600km more up to the north around iceland then it would bring down even colder 850hpa temperatures
  20. Faronstream
    The NAO value is still close to neutral and trending slightly negative, how can the atlantic still be quite powerful in this mornings output? GFS updates too many times a day ( 2 would be the best like ECMWF) beacuse especially 06Z is in 75% of the times always the outliner and mildest
  21. Faronstream
    Even when i look past 400 hours on GFS 12Z ( i know it's really far out) around christmas i still can't see any real cold or brutal cold christmas like 2010, and it was 4 years ago i had a white christmas. Well i think this year it will be a very average christmas year with temperatures close to average and that means slightly above 0 degrees in most of England and just slightly below 0 for the eastern parts of west europe
  22. Faronstream
    Right now it looks like 8th December 13.00pm next week will be the mildest day with around 5 to 6,5+ warmer than average for most parts of west europé, but seems to be short lived and colder the coming days
  23. Faronstream
    I tried to write yesterday to another member that wrote almost the exactly same thing like you did now but my comment was removed so i will try again. Some people in here wants the snow and cold especially around christmas since december is the winter month with most action and heavy snowfalls ( stronger jetstream and humid air), just like some people wants the summer heat before august beacuse it is darker evenings and colder nights in august.
  24. Faronstream
    Well i said that it was a trend, so it's just not a single run it has been showing this for some days now, it is important to be aware of trends.
  25. Faronstream
    The trend for a stronger jet stream and positive NAO during middle of december continues, just hope that the last 7-10 days before christmas will be dominated by dry and frosty days, otherwise it will be the 4th green christmas in a row
×
×
  • Create New...