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Methuselah

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Posts posted by Methuselah

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    And, if winds back more to the West or Northwest, most Western parts (esp. Argyle and the West & NW Highlands) could be in for quite a packet??? I'd guess (uppers being generally around -6C and below) that any marginality should be confined to coasts and areas close to sea level (Me! :D )...That said, an increase of only 1 degree has the potential to scupper all that???

    Interesting times ahead! :)

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I am sure the snow will come but will it last until Christmas? Only had one proper white xmas in 2004 and five or six days can make a difference........but having said that I do hope this potential fall will give us a proper covering and not just a dusting. :yahoo:

    That is the problem, Gilly...Sometimes it lasts (happens in the first place?) and sometimes it doesn't!! :(:(:(:(:(:D:D:cray:

    METO UK Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Agreed C - it does seem that even to appear to question the MO on here meets with howls of derision and accusations of unfounded critisism towards them. Whilst I was lurking I clearly wasn't concentrating on the nuances of what goes on in these forums, but after only 72hrs of posting I've become very aware and increasingly guarded.

    Eh???

    Model Output - General Discussion

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Well, I've been around for quite a while...And, I don't recall too many (the usual suspects excepted :D ) winters in which cold spells have lasted for much longer than ten days! Indeed, how many cold winters contained a White Christmas???

    We can't just write-off all the models that indicate a breakdown...It's so far in the future, it's hardly worth worrying about, IMO... :D

    Leaky Integrator Discussion

    in Climate Change

    Posted

    Hi VP,

    Having spent far too-much time on the 'Night Train to Moscow' of late, I no-longer have the nous to make very many (none? :whistling: ) useful mathematical contributions to your hypothesis. But, having said that, it's great to see a sceptical application of science! :good:

    The LI may well 'fall flat on its face' (as may the MetO's latest predictions for AGW!) I don't know. (As a sceptic myself, I really don't mind either way.) But, whatever the LI's flaws, pitfalls or successes - IMO, the real point is the scientific method... :D

    So, many thanks for all the hard work. (And expense!) Because (IMO) even as an heuristic, it's very-well worthwhile...As I've said before: one doesn't need to deny the recent warming to propose an alternative explanative hypothesis!! :D:D:D:D

    Model Output - General Discussion

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Thanks for the heads-up, Dave...Having looked at the fax charts just now, I think that the Northerly Blast is now very, very likely...I remember the late 1960s' winters, when fronts bringing milder air stalled and waved over Eastern/Northern parts - snow to rain/freezing rain to snow again...

    Agree about possibly very low o/night minima - especially where cold still air stagnates over the snowfields??? :whistling:

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