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Posts posted by Methuselah
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I would like see that 'warm' sector get narrower as it moves south??? Plenty of time for shrinkage... :unsure:
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Does anyone know why when there is a decent easterly snow showers always make it into Yorkshire first? In Feb the heaviest snow showers were predicted by the GFS to start coming into Yorkshire first and the latest GFS run is showing again showers coming into Yorkshire first , it tends to be the case around 70-80% of the time, anyone know why that is?
A combination of being close to the North Sea AND being on high ground???
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Does anyone think we'll be lucky for the old white stuff in Kent????
Quite possibly. It certainly was when I was there, in 1970!
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Thanks for the welcome:). I'm from the land of the bogs and the little people:)
You're welcome mate...East or west?? In an East wind look East (or South?)...
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Why not just help the Underdeveloped World develop sustainably??? We cannae just let them rot!!
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Yes people always up there in their cars at night, lights off (looking for snow I guess even in summer??).
Is that what Tiger Woods called it? What's wrong with s******g?:lol:
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So what is the state of play now? Has there been the dreaded downgrade? or, are we still in line for a potent blast from the east?
Welcome to the madhouse, azumin...It would help if you added your location to your profile...Like: where are you? :lol:
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lol.....the programme they made on the snow for last FEB was over the top to extreme...
Dont know if any can remember it but it was like we were all going to freeze to death...Forget about global warming :lol:
anyway Im down for 25,000 flakes this week I think Pete your down for 15,000
lol
Well dogs, even 15,000 flakes'll be better than last winter's pathetic performance...The Press has no sense of proportion!!
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synthetic southerners, you'll all perish in this cold spell, you can't handle the cold! :lol: :lol:
You're all doomed, doomed!!!
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Well it's my turn to moan now. I was hoping for an easterly to give us a pasting like i had in 87 i thought this time it was our turn. We in the TRUE SE never got the amount of snow others got last year and miss out quite a lot contrary to popular belief.
This set up promised so much earlier than ever and now looks as though we will miss out again.
The only fact i can be pleased about is the fact i will still be able to get my christmas shopping sorted out and get my ffod in wereas the folk up north may well be snowed in. lol
Next time maybe
lol SQ1! Do you know what I got from last Feb's 'snownanza'? (There's a song there?) Zilch!! That's what... :lol:
Anyhoo, it's far-too early to be writing things off yet...Wait for future developments?
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Spot on Stephen....how many times do they hype things up out of perportion..
Last feb was the ICE AGE
Daily Crap exclusive: Snowball Earth!!! :lol:
I agree, one only as to look at their coverage on AGW!!
I thought they were Spot On??? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Stop your moaning badboy!!!! :lol: :lol: :lol:
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hi WhiteXmas there is still a chance there is only around 8 miles between us i think 50-50 chance we just need to hope that this easterly is strong enough
i hope i said that the right way? but interesting times ahead
I'd certainly hope that, after meandering its way all the way to Glasgow, it could traverse another eight miles to Paisley???
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Perhaps just a bad afternoon. My apologies.
No probs at all, mate. (I know I can sometimes come-across all wrong. )...Maybe, after the upcoming snowfest, we'll all get down to some proper discussion???
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Dry and sunny, 5C...
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Really folks! Some of the doom-and-gloom is really quite surprising... :lol:
As an old fart, I can still recall the run-up to the megablizzard of 1969 (in MK)... For two days' prior to the event, we had to endure a cloudy fresh-to-strong ESE wind with daytime maxima of around +1C and minima around -1C!
Come-on peeps, when was the last time we saw these (potential!) synoptics evolving???
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OK. But did I ever present that article as anything more than one study into one area of the world? Have I ever said there has been no warming? As far as I know, never.
If you'd read my post properly (maybe my bad?) you'd have realized that I was comparing the approaches employed by sceptics (LIH) to those of deniers (OMG! All the data must be a priori gerrymandered!)...I wasn't pointing the finger at you, at all...
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The Jan 87 temp was around 5C for the southern North Sea Last week it was around the 11C mark
maps etc can be found here http://www.bsh.de/en/Marine_data/Observations/Sea_surface_temperatures/SST_d.jsp#0
North Sea temps in Decembers 1976 and 1995 would also have been high?? How was the convection in those years' Eaterlies?
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An amazing run at T120 you often didnt see that at T3840 !
Looks like It's coming home
Everyone seems to know the models
We have seen it all before
This time they just know They're so sure
I don't think we are going to
Throw it away
or that low will be blown away
But I know these models can play
GFS on the shirt
Easterly still gleaming
God 1979 30 Years of hurt
I Never stoppped me dreaming
So many jokes, so many jeers re FI and all that
But all those oh so nears
Wear you down
Through the modelling years
But I still see that
Easterly we had the
blizzard that scored
Yes looks like its coming home
lol Stew...A bit 'FI' isn't it???
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I sense an approaching shoal of red herrings!
PS: why not blue sardines???
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Lol Pete, we should really add a 1c-2c maybe 3c discrepency on 1962. The climate is warmer- right?
That's why it's so interesting, IMO...I'm not pretending to know what'll happen in any detail, I've had my fingers burned too-many times in the past, for that!
Maybe, just something to keep an eye on?
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That southward-sinking 'warmer' sector forecast for midweekish next week is interesting. With all that residual dry cold air languishing over England ahead of it, I'd expect/hope to see some quite widespread (though probably not heavy) snowfalls as a result...Wasn't the snowfall of Boxing Day 1962 the result of something similar?? Indeed, would the 'warm' sector be long-lasting enough to cause much of a thaw??
All very interesting...The devil is in the detail!
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Now that's taking it to extremes Pete! :w00t:
But, I am liking the 'suggestion' of blast from the NE, Solar...A straight easterly is no use for me??
OMG! That's the closest thing to a 'whine' I can manage!
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LOL just because it isnt looking so rosey for the south now its a downgrade :w00t: Looking good for us up north though
Some people need to remember that england doesnt stop at brimingham. Overall its still looking good for the uk as a whole though dont u think?
And, Britain doesn't stop at Hadrian's Wall either...
I haven't seen much in the way of 'downgrades'???
Model Output Discussion
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
I think, it just goes to show that, trying to predict more than 7 days' ahead is a - waste of time??