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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. Could be broom? Does it have pods that pop in dry summer weather?
  2. That's because the 1963 'analogue' has well passed its use-by date, the use-by for 1947 is coming within range of the models, and 1991's is the next one on the list! Didn't one of the 1960s' Springs have lots of snow in April?
  3. Well, and thankfully there's no [unlike] button, if I can't have any really meaningful cold, super-mild is the next best scenario...
  4. To be fair, rather than the model itself being 'overrated', it's its minuscule (verification stats) advantage over the GFS, in the far-reaches of FI, that causes a few folk to mislead themselves? I really do care if, at T+300, the ECM outscores the GFS by 0.2% or whatever; at that distance, it's the intra-run spread of the potential solutions that matters and not the individual options themselves, I think?
  5. Light sleet falling, though I doubt I'll be seeing any snow today...
  6. Just has a really heavy snow shower; and it's virtually gone already. Is that from the front out west? Cos the speed at which that crosses the region is just about the only 'exciting' thing on today's 06Z!
  7. I just hope that all those folks concerned heeded their warnings? And HT at Jaywick Sands isn't until about 12:15 am...Wake-up peeps, heed your warnings?
  8. I think it was inevitable, given the conditions, JJ1...Shame on all those who've been writing it all off as hyperbole.
  9. Well, in that case, we can all rest assured that Sydney's assets will see it through to Spring, intact.
  10. Is that the same 'Big Joe B' who said we'd all be in the freezer by now, Malcolm?
  11. A wee touch of sleety snow in the wind, just now. It could be a hairy night: frozen slush/ice inland and potential tidal flooding for those living by the coast...
  12. Well, whether or not it snows tonight, the wind really is starting to blow a right hoolie. I do hope that everyone along the coast stays safe.
  13. Tried to post this piece of nonsense (accidentally of course!) in the MOD thread earlier...But, has someone taken the 'fantasy' out of Fantasy Island?
  14. I'm guessing, but I think that the analogues merely predispose certain types of overall hemispheric patterns? But, as with all cases of predisposition there are other factors, 'contraindications' that suggest a million and one other possibilities? For want of a better analogy, not everyone who's predisposed to contracting lung cancer does so...
  15. With the strength of the wind just now, 'rapid thaw' would not be an inappropriate description?
  16. I must say that I'm pleasantly surprised; even the cars are struggling for traction!
  17. It's looking good, IMO...A run stacked with building blocks. Anything even approaching that northerly, will do for many, I guess?
  18. That's daft. We all used to arrive at school forty-five minutes early, just so we could make super slides on the playground!
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