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Everything posted by Decemberof2010
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Well having just seen the updated warning it's taken Leeds out of the game!! Depends where you are tbh. Not expecting anything tonight
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Yes as long as the snow is heavy enough it will create a slush first then lay as snow on top of that. Hear loads of people say it's too wet to lay! Simply not true
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Can see this being a non event here in Leeds. Fair enough up around the airport area you may see a covering but elsewhere I just don't see it
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Decemberof2010 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes the January 95 one was unreal here in Leeds. Heavy persistent rain up till about 5pm which then turned to snow. Within 10 minutes it was a whiteover. 3 hours later and something like 40cm!!! It's one that stands out for me above any other. -
Model output discussion - mid-winter
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is this the model thread?, or the Will it snow at this temp in this location and when did it do it, thread? Becoming annoying now. No real change in the output for next week so far. Let's look forward to a decent ECM- 2,572 replies
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Decemberof2010 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As are half the posts in there. And no it wasn't off topic at all -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Decemberof2010 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just wondering if I'm ok to post in here or will this post disappear too? I make 2 posts in the MAD thread and both get removed. Then again I suppose I'm not a daily poster or of great knowledge so my posts are seen as irrelevant in there. Won't be posting again if that's how it is -
Yes they are worded slightly differently, but as always with Meto updates you need to read between the lines. The word Mild has disappeared on the latest update which is a positive for sure. The one from yesterday was pretty good imo as you say. However a definite upgrade on today's even if it's not totally obvious
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Very slight change of wording but I'd say in a positive way. Yes still uncertain but seems even more uncertain now of mild weather making inroads
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Model output discussion - into 2018
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree. We should all be cautious. Every year one model stays away from the others when they're showing awesome charts. And the party pooper always seems to be correct. I would need to see a shift on the 6z to be comfortable. However I would have expected the shift on the 0z. MO update overnight is unchanged. Again a shift from that surely this afternoon -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm not confident in the ECM. I think the GFS has nailed this. I hope I'm wrong but it's just the way it goes these days!!!!!!!!!! -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into 2018
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
*their Just jesting. I find your posts great to be honest. Don't let a small number put you off doing what you do. You won't always please everyone. Awaits by the ECM in hope now -
Seems to be slower yes. Heavier stuff is still to the west
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I honestly think this is going to be a flop to be honest. I think here in Leeds we will see snow for a little bit, a slight covering maybe and then rain. I expect it to be gone by the rush hour!
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Model output discussion - winter proper underway
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Excellent post BB62-63. Thank you for your in depth and knowledgable posts. It helps us mere lurkers to understand a bit more. Keep up the great work.- 2,328 replies
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Model output discussion - winter proper underway
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes and some very odd looking charts. I say odd, as they show a very strange NH. Hopefully it will gain momentum over the coming days- 2,328 replies
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This still isn't a done deal. The meto App has upgraded since its downgrade for Leeds. Heavy snow is back. GFS has the track well north to easily cover us. May have to wait till the morning for it to become clear
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Slight shift north on the 18z
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Thanks I'm in west Leeds. Fingers crossed, also the met office warning certainly sounds very good.
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hi sausage what is your location please? I'm in Leeds does it look good for Sunday still? Thanks
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Winter 2017 2018 General Discussion
Decemberof2010 replied to syed2878's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes and nothing conservative about it either. Can see that being upgraded to amber closer to the event. They must have pretty high confidence to be using that wording this far out! Exciting weekend coming up -
They also state "further accumulations to central and northern areas"