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Everything posted by Decemberof2010
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Decemberof2010 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
To say it's all over for England is a bit far fetched. And a 3 or 4 day cold spell??? Yes if the GFS comes off but only down south. The Meto still bullish on their overnight text of cold lasting. ECM, UKMO different to GFS. People do live north of the Midlands. However going by the MAD thread this morning you'd never know it. Unbelievable imbyism in there. For the southern half yes it's a downgrade, for us further north it's still bitter. -
SSW Related Cold Spell - It's here
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes there is that option of course? -
That's good to hear. As looking in the mod thread for the last 2 days i thought it was only going to snow down south. Unbelievable imbyism in there.
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SSW Related Cold Spell - It's here
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Cannot remember the last time I watched an actual BBC weather forecast. They will end up looking stupid when next week is over. I presume we will see amber and possibly red warnings from Meto in the days ahead. The BBC will use these and then forecast mainly dry a few flurries and a temp of 4c. Embarrassing -
You couldn't really make it up. The media made more of a big deal about the slider back in December!!! People I keep telling are just thinking it's going to be a bit cold and maybe a couple of snow showers. I actually blame the media that no one seems prepared. They cry wolf so many times and nothing happens. The one time they actually underplay it, we could have the wintriest weather period since 2010!
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Excellent, thanks.
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I told a lad at work the weather is going to get very cold with snow. He said "yeah but it will be gone after a few hours because it's getting warmer at this time of year!! ?
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I was 14 in 91 and it was amazing. However I always think back to the Jan 95 event. Here in Leeds it started as very heavy rain. Around 5pm it turned to heavy snow and by 8.30pm (yes 3 hours) we had 40 centimetres!!!!!! I get very angry when people say "yes but it won't lay it's too wet". This event always springs to mind
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good morning my fellow non sleepers. UKMO (thankfully) is very good this morning. Let's just hope ECM doesn't upset us later on -
Now that's tall!!'
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM looking more like UKMO than GFS at 96h. Forgive me if I'm wrong here I'm still learning lol -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Excellent runs this morning. Incredible last few days of model watching. And as if we couldn't ask for more I suggest a peak at the overnight MO update:-) -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm eagerly awaiting the GFS 12z and hoping for another nice run. Also nervous about the 12z ECM. So much in fact that because my sofa is pretty small I've gone in the garden shed -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I hope it doesn't hot up. Those south of the m4 will be on the wrong side of marginal -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Confused.com -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Correct, a couple of horrors in there -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just a quick question. The purple 850 temps that march towards us on the big easterly runs, seem to very rarely make it over the North Sea. Do they get moderated over the water? Seen massive blobs of them stop short of the uk On the following images it seems we will be covered by the huge purple mass but it doesn't make it -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I just randomly picked a number (honest) and looked at that ensemble member from 216 This is what I want to see please....... -
SSW Related Cold Spell - It's here
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I would love it to be like my username. The depth of cold here was something else. Minus 6 at lunchtime and minus 15 at night. I have a pic somewhere of -13 in my car at 7am!!! A couple of significant snowfalls as well. If this comes anywhere close I'll be very happy -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Decemberof2010 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I sort of agree. But now you've got a UKMO inside 5 days that has flipped on its next run! Go figure -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Add to the fact the next post says it's a move towards UKMO! -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Correct Warren. Didn't Ian F tweet that the ops will struggle in scenarios like this, and to follow ensembles? -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Great model output from the 0z's and then the GFS 6z with amazing GEFS's. Looking forward to the 12z's eagerly now. I just hope that come mid March we don't have a new member called: ThatECM-thatGFS-thatUKMO-thatGEM-thatGEFS-thatICON-thatGLOSEA5-thatMORGREPS-thatTELECONNECTIONS -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Decemberof2010 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hopefully the trend to push the cold back continues. Then we may have a chance of it landing next winter -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion