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Everything posted by Decemberof2010
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
See above my error -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes my mistake apologies -
Yes, you can go a few days with no change to the wording
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
As seems to be the case at this time of year. A poorer model run is followed by an upgraded Meto update. (Very good btw). Then the runs upgrade and the meto downgrades. It’s Happened a few times so far -
That’s an upgrade imo. They seem to moving away from the stormy mild theme slowly but surely
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Genuine question here. Why are these strat charts always at 384h? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Great to see you back posting Frosty. It certainly looks quite exciting what could lie further ahead also -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looks a bit Scitish to me -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes I take back my comment. Only had a quick look. The op looks longer lasting -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Surprised there’s not more comment on the control. It’s better than the op. Unfortunately can’t upload charts at the minute -
That’s what I thought. The one you post daily is always the most up to date. Very strange and for the worse for coldies like me
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This update isn’t the most recent I don’t think SS? Latest update has an added part at the end that doesn’t look that good for cold lovers UK Outlook for Monday 10 Dec 2018 to Monday 24 Dec 2018: Should the unsettled weather prior to this period continue, it is likely to be quite short-lived. The weather is generally expected to turn calmer and more settled, but this will bring an increased likelihood of fog. Temperatures may start off around average at first, but are likely to trend to colder than average. This in turn will bring an increased risk of some overnight frosts under any clearer skies. However, as we head towards the end of this period, it is likely to become more unsettled once again with temperatures returning to around or a little above average for the time of year. Updated: 13:52 on Sun 25 Nov 2018 GMT
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes Atlantic 252, I saw that one too, very nice. Let’s hope these FI charts like these continue to grow in numbers and get closer. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well I’m still on the hunt for cold and in the GEFS this morning I’ve found some nice looking charts. And the best thing is they’re only at 384hrs out!!!!!! And this is only at 348hrs!!!! What could possibly go wrong? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes that would tie in with the MO outlook too. Think the BBC has been on the sauce with their bullish mild theme for December. Like you say the day 10 ECM chart is the next point of interest. Hopefully this will gather some momentum in the next few days -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Damn! Thanks for the effort. Looks like my straw jar is empty -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Does anyone know what time the CMA and NASA models come out?? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hmmmm. Doesn’t look that great to me. I am still learning though. What is likely to happen on the next frame? Will heights build again up to Greenland. I’m a bit confused -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And now it seems we have some backing for this from the MO. Now mentioning ‘small chance of even colder weather arriving with northerly winds’ on their further outlook -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes. Are we slowly getting there? Hopefully another decent GFS about to roll and a stonking ECM later, can set us up nicely for the weekend runs! -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes that would be perfect. Let’s hope so -
Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So the GFS is a dream run and the ECM a bit meh. Scrap what I said a moment ago edited out now